全球金融危机后国际收支结构性变化下的东北亚经济合作

发布时间：2018-06-14 17:46

本文选题：东北亚 + 国际收支平衡　；参考：《社会科学战线》2014年01期

【摘要】：2007—2008年金融危机后全球经济进入了一个不稳定、经济增长下滑的新阶段。但是我们可以通过G20国家规模空前的货币供应量和财政支出,效仿1930年代的做法,设法规避经济崩溃。在全球经济的新阶段我们能够发现东北亚国际收支平衡的结构性变化:商品出口增长率下降,占GDP的比例缩小;中国进口贸易平衡比例越来越小,日本近两年贸易平衡为逆差;投机热钱横扫世界和东北亚,对股票价格和汇率变动产生了影响。通过分析东北亚尤其是日本、中国和韩国的结构性变化,将会看到发展经济合作和区域内部贸易的必要性。
[Abstract]:After the financial crisis of 2007-2008, the global economy entered a new stage of instability and economic growth decline. But through unprecedented money supply and fiscal spending in G20 countries, we can try to avoid a collapse, as we did in the 1930s. In the new stage of the global economy, we can find the structural changes of the balance of payments in Northeast Asia: the growth rate of commodity exports decreases, the proportion of GDP decreases, the proportion of China's import trade balance becomes smaller and smaller, and Japan's trade balance becomes a deficit in the last two years; Speculative hot money swept the world and Northeast Asia, affecting stock prices and exchange rate movements. By analyzing the structural changes in Northeast Asia, especially in Japan, China and South Korea, the necessity of developing economic cooperation and intra-regional trade will be seen.
【作者单位】：日本立命馆大学经济学院;吉林省社会科学院外事处;
【分类号】：F831.6;F114.46

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