四川省产业结构调整与就业结构变化关系的研究

发布时间：2018-06-18 03:04

本文选题：产业结构 + 就业结构　；参考：《西南财经大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：产业结构的调整决定就业结构的变动,就业结构对产业结构也会产生—定的影响,二者的影响是相互的。社会经济的快速发展要求产业结构的调整与就业结构的变动是一致的,当二者的发展出现不协调时,就会对社会经济的发展产生影响。所以保持产业结构与就业结构的协调发展是必要的。四川既是一个经济大省,也是一个人口大省,产业结构与就业结构的发展尤为重要,二者任何一个因素发展滞后都会对四川经济和就业产生影响。伴随着四川经济的快速增长,产业结构调整明显,就业结构也随之产生了一定的变动,但就业结构的变动仍然落后于产业结构的变动。针对这一现实,本文选取1978年到2011年相关经济变量的年度数据,采用定量分析为主,定性分析相结合的方法,对四川产业结构与就业结构三十多年来的变化及二者的关系、存在的问题进行了研究,并给出了相应的建议。全文可分为六大部分,为：第一部分为绪论,主要是对文章的选题背景及意义、国内外文献综述、文章内容及方法进行了简要说明。第二部分对产业结构与就业结构的相关概念及相关理论进行了回顾。第三部分分析了自1978年到2011年三十多年来,四川产业结构与就业结构的变化情况,并对产业结构与就业结构的变化情况进行了比较,其结果为：四川省产业结构与就业结构的发展是不协调的,就业结构的变动明显的滞后于产业结构的调整,第一产业的增加值比重与就业人数比重均呈现下降趋势,但就业人数的比重仍然相对过大,数据显示2011年四川第一产业增加值的比重为14.2%,而就业人数的比重为42.7%,就业人数过多的集中于第一产业中；第二产业的增加值比重与就业人数的比重均在上升,但就业人数的比重相对较小,数据显示,2011年第二产业增加值的比重为52.4%,而就业人数的比重为25.3%,第二产业就业人数较少：整体看第三产业增加值比重与就业人数比重均呈上升趋势,2011年第三产业增加值比重为43.3%,就业人数比重为35.7%。第四部分为本文的研究重点,分别从产业结构偏离度、比较劳动生产率、产业扩张弹性、就业弹性以及协整性五个角度对四川产业结构与结业结构之间的关系进行了实证研究,得出结论为：四川省产业结构的调整与就业结构的变化有着密切的关系。第一产业呈现出萎缩的发展趋势,产业内的劳动力正在向外转移,但转移过程中出现了结构性障碍,造成第一产业的产业结构与就业结构不存在长期稳定的关系,但劳动力的转移仍将持续；第二产业呈现出扩张的趋势,带动了部分劳动力的就业,第二产业的产业结构与就业结构存在长期稳定的趋势,在未来仍对劳动力有一定的吸纳能力,但效果不是很明显；第三产业呈现出扩张趋势,在过去吸纳了大量的由第一产业转移出的劳动力,第三产业的产业结构与就业结构也存在长期稳定的趋势,在未来对劳动力吸纳作用比有较明显。第五部分对四川产业结构与就业结构的关系进行了横向分析,主要是与国内平均水平及国内主要经济城市进行了结构偏离度及就业弹性的比较。第六部分,给出本文的结论,并在以上几部分的基础上,针对四川产业结构与就业结构存在的问题,提出了一些产业结构与就业结构协调发展的可行性建议。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of the industrial structure decides the change of employment structure , and the employment structure has a certain influence on the industrial structure . The rapid development of the social economy requires the adjustment of the industrial structure and the change of the employment structure to be consistent . When the development of the two is not coordinated , the development of the social economy will be affected . Therefore , it is necessary to maintain the coordinated development of the industrial structure and the employment structure .

With the rapid growth of Sichuan economy , the adjustment of industrial structure and employment structure have changed , but the change of employment structure still lags behind the change of industrial structure . In view of this reality , this paper studies the change of industrial structure and employment structure in Sichuan for more than thirty years and the relationship between them .

The full text can be divided into six parts :

The first part is the introduction , mainly on the background and significance of the article ' s selection , the literature review at home and abroad , the contents and methods of the article are briefly described .

The second part reviews the relevant concepts and relevant theories of industrial structure and employment structure .

The third part analyzes the change of industrial structure and employment structure from 1978 to 2011 , and compares the industrial structure with employment structure .
The proportion of the added value of the second industry is higher than that of the employed persons , but the proportion of the employed persons is relatively small , the data show that the proportion of the increase in the second industry in 2011 is 52.4 % , and the proportion of the employed persons is 25 . 3 % . The proportion of the second industry employment is less : overall , the proportion of the added value of the tertiary industry and the share of the employment are rising . In 2011 , the proportion of the third industry added value is 44.3 % , and the proportion of the employment is 33.7 % .

The fourth part is divided into four parts : industrial structure deviation , labor productivity , industrial expansion elasticity , employment elasticity and co - integration . The conclusion is that the adjustment of industrial structure in Sichuan is closely related to the change of employment structure .
The second industry shows the trend of expansion , which drives the employment of some labor force , the industrial structure of the second industry and the employment structure have a long - term stable trend , still has certain absorptive capacity for the labor force in the future , but the effect is not obvious ;
The third industry shows the trend of expansion , has absorbed a lot of labor force transferred from the first industry in the past , the industrial structure of the third industry and the employment structure also have a long - term stable trend , and in the future , it is obvious that the labor absorption effect is more obvious .

The fifth part analyzes the relationship between the industrial structure and the employment structure of Sichuan , mainly compares the structure deviation and the employment elasticity with the national average and the main economic cities in China .

The sixth part gives the conclusion of this paper , and puts forward some feasible suggestions for the coordinated development of industrial structure and employment structure on the basis of the above parts , aiming at the problems of industrial structure and employment structure in Sichuan .
【学位授予单位】：西南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F249.27;F224

【参考文献】