陕南县域经济发展研究

发布时间：2018-06-24 19:09

本文选题：县域经济 + 产业结构　；参考：《陕西师范大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：县域,作为国民经济的重要地理单元,其经济发展密切关系着一个区域的经济协调发展,密切关系着国家的和谐稳定。自党的十六大首次明确提出“壮大县域经济是全面建设小康社会的重大任务”后,全国人大十届一次会议、党的十六届三中全会、全国农村工作会议、全国人大十届二次会议、中央一号文件都对县域经济进行了相关表述,并且将县域经济与发展农产品加工业、发展中小型城镇、扩大就业、增加农民收入、全面建设小康社会等工作结合起来,使县域经济的内涵不断丰富。全国许多省区也高度重视县域经济的发展,专门制定加快推进县域经济发展的相关文件。在学术界,县域经济相关问题研究已成为经济地理学、区域经济学等相关学科领域的热点问题。由此可见,壮大县域经济发展已经引起了广泛关注。陕南作为陕西省一个重要的区域板块,其经济发展直接关系着整个省域的经济协调发展,因此,本文针对陕南县域经济进行发展规律的探究、影响因素的分析和有效对策的探讨,这对实现“陕南县域经济突破发展”有着重要的实践意义,对陕西省实现县域经济协调发展有着重要的现实意义。本文以经济学、地理学等相关学科理论为指导,以陕南28个县(区)的经济发展为研究对象,从时间演进、相关比较和空间变化三个维度,深入分析了陕南县域经济发展进程,综合得出1999年至2010年间陕南28个县(区)的经济演变趋势和空间格局特征,进而探讨了影响陕南县域经济发展的基本动因,在此基础上提出促进陕南县域经济发展切实可行的对策。研究的主要结论包括： (1)经济总量逐年扩大,产业结构不断优化。从经济总量看,自1999年至2011年陕南县域经济总量不断地扩大；从发展阶段来看,1999年至2005年是陕南经济缓慢增长阶段,2006年至2011年是陕南经济快速增长阶段；从年平均增长速度来看,陕南比全省低1.75个百分点；从产业结构看,第一产业呈逐年下降态势,第二产业呈缓慢波动上升的特点,第三产业比重增长较为明显,经济结构有了一定的优化。 (2)县域间差异呈扩大趋势,经济发展不平衡。陕南各个县(区)的经济在不断发展的同时,县域之间的绝对差异却有扩大的趋势,而较发达县域与较贫困县域经济差距的变动幅度略有缩减,县域内部差距缩减不够明显；各县(区)在发展速度方面也存在着差异；从产业结构方面来看,与1999年相比,2010年陕南各个县域的产业结构有了一定程度上的优化；在综合经济水平得分方面,汉台区、汉滨区和商州区的综合得分一直都处于较高水平,并且除了南郑县、城固县、勉县、略阳县与旬阳县各年份都在0分以上外,其余大部分县(区)的综合得分都是在0分以下,这表明陕南经济总体发展较为落后,并且存在着严重的不平衡性。 (3)通过聚类分析,并结合各县(区)发展特点,陕南28个县(区)可以分成四种类型。第Ⅰ类县(区)为“二三产业共进型”,二三产业发展质量较高：第Ⅱ类县(区)为“区位优势突出型”,受市中心经济带动作用强,以工业为主导产业的国民经济体系初步形成；第Ⅲ类县(区)为“特色资源富集型”,资源优势亟待转换为经济优势；第Ⅳ类县(区)为“传统农业主导型”,皆处在陕南区域的边缘地带,发展滞后。 (4)陕南县域经济空间相关程度在逐年减弱。1999年至2010年的人均GDPMoran's I统计量表现出在波动中逐渐减小的变化趋势,综合经济发展水平得分的Moran's I统计量也在不断下降。 (5)陕南大部分县域都属于低低类型和高低类型,经济发展水平普遍较低。除了汉台区、勉县、城固县、南郑县一直处于高高类型,经济发展水平一直保持在相对较高水平之外,其余大部分县(区)都属于高低和低低类型,尤其是商洛市的大部分县(区)都属于低低类型,经济发展水平一直比较落后。本文的创新点有： (1)多视角分析陕南县域经济发展。本文以陕南28个县(区)的经济发展为研究对象,选取1999年至2010年这一时间序列,搜集能代表县域经济发展规模、产业结构和经济发展质量这三方面的经济指标数据,从时间演进、相关比较与空间变化这三个维度对陕南的县域经济发展做实证研究,更为全面地揭示出陕南县域经济发展的演变规律和空间变化特征。 (2)传统分析方法与现代分析方法相结合。本文不仅采用了标准差、加权变异系数、极差等传统的测定县域经济发展差异的分析方法,并且利用主成分分析方法测定各县(区)的总体经济水平、利用空间统计方法来分析其空间变化特点。主成分分析与空间统计分析方法的结合使得空间统计分析所基于的数据不再是单一的人均GDP指标数据,而是选取各个县(区)的13项经济指标数据,并由主成分分析的方法得出各个县(区)的综合经济水平指标数据,从而使空间统计分析所得出的结果更为真实与可靠。 (3)多种软件相结合使用。本文使用SPSS17.0软件计算各县(区)的经济综合水平,在此基础上,将ArcGIS和Geoda095i相结合,使得属性数据与图形数据得到很好的结合,更为直观地揭示出1999年至2010年陕南经济发展的演变规律和空间格局的演变特征。
[Abstract]:As an important geographical unit of the national economy , the county economy is closely related to the harmonious development of the country , which is closely related to the harmonious stability of the country .

Based on the theory of economics , geography and other relevant subject theories , this paper analyzes the economic development process of the 28 counties ( districts ) in southern Shaanxi from three dimensions of time evolution , relative comparison and spatial change , and then discusses the basic causes of economic development of the counties in southern Shaanxi from 1999 to 2010 . The main conclusions of the study are as follows :

( 1 ) The total economic volume has been expanded year by year , and the industrial structure has been optimized continuously . From 1999 to 2011 , the total economic volume of the counties in southern Shaanxi has been continuously expanded from 1999 to 2011 .
From the development stage , the period from 1999 to 2005 is the slow growth stage of the southern Shaanxi economy , and the period from 2006 to 2011 is the fast growing stage of the southern Shaanxi economy ;
In terms of annual average growth rate , South Shaanxi is 1.75 percentage points lower than the whole province ;
In view of the industrial structure , the first industry is declining year by year , the second industry is characterized by a slow fluctuation , and the proportion of the third industry is increased obviously , and the economic structure has certain optimization .

( 2 ) The difference between county and county is expanded , the economic development is not balanced . At the same time , the economic development of each county ( district ) of Shaanxi Province is growing , while the absolute difference between the county and county is expanded , while the change of the economic gap between the developed county and the poorer county is slightly reduced , and the gap between the county and county is not obvious ;
There are also differences in the development speed of counties ( districts ) ;
From the viewpoint of industrial structure , in 2010 , the industrial structure of each county in southern Shaanxi has some degree of optimization ;
In the aspect of comprehensive economic level score , the comprehensive scores of Hantai area , Hanbin District and Shangzhou District have been at a higher level , and in addition to Nanzheng County , Chenggu County , Weixian County , slightly Yangxian County and Xunyang county each year is above 0 points , the comprehensive scores of most counties ( districts ) are below 0 points , which indicates that the overall development of the southern Shaanxi economy is relatively backward , and there is serious imbalance .

( 3 ) Through cluster analysis and combining with the development characteristics of each county ( district ) , 28 counties ( districts ) in South Shaanxi can be divided into four types : Class I ( district ) is the " two - three industry co - entry type " , and the second three industry development quality is higher : Class II county ( district ) is the " regional dominant prominent type " , is driven by the economy of the city center , and is preliminarily formed by the national economy system of industry as the leading industry ;
Class III county ( district ) is " characteristic resource enrichment type " , the resource advantage needs to be converted into economic advantage ;
Type IV counties ( districts ) are " traditional agriculture leading type " , all in the marginal zone of the southern Shaanxi region , development lag .

( 4 ) The correlation degree of economic space in the county area of Shaanxi Province decreased year by year . The statistic of per capita GDPMoran ' s I in 1999 to 2010 showed a decreasing trend in the fluctuation , and the Moran ' s I statistic of the comprehensive economic development level was also declining .

( 5 ) Most of the counties in southern Shaanxi belong to the low and low types , and the level of economic development is generally low . Except for the Han , the county , Chenggu County and Nanzheng County have been in the high and high type , the level of economic development has been kept at a relatively high level , and most of the counties ( districts ) belong to low and low types , especially most of the counties ( districts ) of Shangluo City belong to the low and low type , and the level of economic development has been relatively backward .

The innovation points in this paper are :

( 1 ) Based on the economic development of 28 counties ( districts ) in southern Shaanxi , this paper takes the economic development of 28 counties ( districts ) in South Shaanxi as the research object , selects the economic index data which can represent the scale , industrial structure and economic development quality of the county economy .

( 2 ) The traditional analysis method is combined with the modern analytical method . This paper not only adopts the traditional method of measuring the difference between the standard deviation , the weighted variation coefficient , the extreme difference and the like , and analyzes the spatial variation characteristics by using the method of principal component analysis . The combination of the principal component analysis and the spatial statistical analysis method makes the data based on the spatial statistic analysis no longer a single per capita GDP index data , but the comprehensive economic level index data of each county ( region ) is obtained by the method of the principal component analysis , so that the result obtained by the spatial statistical analysis is more real and reliable .

( 3 ) The economic integration level of each county ( district ) is calculated by SPSS 17.0 software . Based on this , the combination of ArcGIS and Geoda095i is used to make attribute data and graphic data well combined , and reveal the evolution of economic development and spatial pattern of Shaanxi ' s economic development from 1999 to 2010 .
【学位授予单位】：陕西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】