河南省人口与经济发展的协调度分析

发布时间：2018-07-07 14:58

本文选题：耦合协调度 + 人口发展　；参考：《城市观察》2015年06期

【摘要】：从人口与经济互动关系着手,以河南省18市为研究对象,选取2004-2013年人口与经济两系统各7个指标,构建河南省人口与经济发展评价指标体系,运用熵权法测算出两系统综合发展指数,采用耦合协调度模型,并结合GIS空间分析技术,定量评判人口系统与经济系统交互作用的关联协调程度,把握河南省人口与经济的时序特征与空布局,深入剖析时空分异形成内在机理。研究结果表明:⑴十年间,河南省各市人口发展与经济发展指数可以分为稳定型、波动型、增长型和下降型四种类型;⑵空间布局上,无论是人口发展指数,还是经济发展状态,呈现出以郑州为核心,圈层状空间发展格局;⑶各市人口发展和经济发展耦合度以初级磨合性耦合和拮抗性耦合为主,高水平耦合城市缺乏。协调度表现为濒临失调和轻度失调,仍保持着郑州"一枝独秀"的局面。
[Abstract]:Starting from the interaction between population and economy, taking 18 cities of Henan Province as the research object, this paper selects 7 indexes of population and economy system from 2004-2013 to construct the evaluation index system of population and economic development in Henan Province. The comprehensive development index of the two systems is calculated by using entropy weight method. The coupling coordination degree model and GIS spatial analysis technology are used to quantitatively evaluate the degree of correlation and coordination between population system and economic system. To grasp the temporal characteristics and empty layout of population and economy in Henan Province, and to analyze the internal mechanism of space-time differentiation. The results show that in the past 10 years, the population development and economic development index of Henan Province can be divided into four types: stable type, fluctuating type, growth type and descending type, regardless of population development index. Or the state of economic development, showing Zhengzhou as the core, the stratified spatial development pattern of three cities population development and economic development coupling degree of primary running-in coupling and antagonistic coupling, the lack of high-level coupling cities. The degree of coordination is on the verge of maladjustment and slight maladjustment, which still keeps Zhengzhou's "outshine" situation.
【作者单位】：辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院;辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目:辽宁省人力资源流动研究(L15BRK001)
【分类号】：F127;C924.2

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