国内投资与外商直接投资对中国经济增长影响的比较研究

发布时间：2018-07-09 09:56

本文选题：国内投资 + 外商直接投资　；参考：《西北大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济取得了快速发展,目前经济规模总量已经位于全球第二,2012年中国GDP总量达51.93万亿元。投资,作为促进经济增长的“三驾马车”之一,发挥着重要作用,其中国内投资从1953年的75.49亿元增长到2011年的306380.82亿元,外商投资,从1992年的468.66亿元增长到2012年的1117.16亿美元,累计利用外资已超过一万亿美元。金融危机给全球性经济带来的沉重打击,也影响了我国吸收外资的能力,而随后政府推出的四万亿计划有效地保持了我们经济的增长势头。本文通过分析改革开放以来我国国内投资、外商直接投资和GDP之间的关系得出国内投资与经济增长之间呈现长期均衡且存在相互驱动关系,而外商直接投资与中国经济增长之间存在长期均衡和有效的驱动机制关系。通过分析2008年以来国内投资、外商直接投资和GDP之间的关系得出外商直接投资、国内投资与中国经济增长之间存在一种长期均衡机制并均存在有效驱动机制。而通过对两期国内投资、外商直接投资与GDP关系等式的对比,我们发现,尽管受金融危机的冲击,外商直接投资出现了短暂的下降,但其对国内生产总值的影响力与国内投资对国内生产总值的影响力之间差距在逐渐缩小。针对此种情况,笔者作了简单分析：(1)随着经济的不断增长,国内注意力从经济增长速度转向了经济增长质量,因此在外资吸收方面,可能更注重于外资的技术含量;(2)根据我国目前人均GNP水平,我们进入了英国经济学家邓宁提出了有关外国直接投资的“投资周期论”的第三阶段,因此更看重外资的质量。最后本文就如何平衡国内投资和外商直接投资提出了政策建议,认为需要进一步平衡国内投资,即在发挥好政府投资的宏观调控作用的同时,积极引导发展民间投资,同时吸引外资,提高外资使用效率。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has made rapid development, at present, the total economic scale has ranked the second in the world, China's total GDP in 2012 reached 51.93 trillion yuan. Investment, as one of the "troika" to promote economic growth, plays an important role. Domestic investment has increased from 7.549 billion yuan in 1953 to 30.638082 trillion yuan in 2011, and foreign investment has increased from 46.866 billion yuan in 1992 to 111.716 billion dollars in 2012. The cumulative utilization of foreign capital has exceeded US $1 trillion. The financial crisis has dealt a heavy blow to the global economy and has also affected China's ability to absorb foreign capital, and the subsequent government's 4 trillion plan has effectively maintained the momentum of our economy. Based on the analysis of the relationship between domestic investment, foreign direct investment and GDP since the reform and opening up, this paper draws a conclusion that the relationship between domestic investment and economic growth shows a long-term equilibrium and has a mutual driving relationship. There is a long-term equilibrium and effective driving mechanism relationship between FDI and China's economic growth. By analyzing the relationship between domestic investment, foreign direct investment and GDP since 2008, it is concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium mechanism and effective driving mechanism between domestic investment and China's economic growth. By comparing the two periods of domestic investment, the relationship between foreign direct investment and GDP, we find that, despite the impact of the financial crisis, foreign direct investment has experienced a temporary decline. But the gap between its influence on GDP and the influence of domestic investment on GDP is narrowing. In view of this situation, the author makes a simple analysis: (1) with the continuous growth of the economy, the domestic attention has shifted from the speed of economic growth to the quality of economic growth, so in the aspect of foreign capital absorption, (2) according to the current per capita GNP level of our country, we have entered the third stage of the "investment cycle theory" about foreign direct investment put forward by Dunning, a British economist, so we pay more attention to the quality of foreign investment. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to balance domestic investment and foreign direct investment, and thinks that it is necessary to further balance domestic investment, that is, to actively guide the development of private investment while giving full play to the macro-control role of government investment. At the same time, attract foreign capital, improve the efficiency of the use of foreign capital.
【学位授予单位】：西北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.1;F832.6

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