我国碳排放效率区域差异的动态演进与协调机制研究

发布时间：2018-07-11 11:35

本文选题：碳排放效率 + 随机前沿模型　；参考：《华南理工大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国作为一个负责任的大国提出碳减排行动目标是：到2020年，我国单位GDP的CO2排放比2005年下降40%—45%。随着2013年的到来，离2020年也仅有7年的时间，但在碳排放上仍然面临较大的减排压力。国家在政策制定上都会从经济发展和碳排放量控制两个目标进行考虑。那么现阶段究竟这两个目标是否能够平衡的实现，各地方在保持经济发展的同时是否能够协调好碳排放量控制，这是本文研究的主要目的之一。因此本文引入了一个较为合理的指标——碳生产率，并在此基础上对碳排放效率进行分析。同时，对碳排放效率的变化进行了较为直观的分析，从国家整体上考察是否达到了地区与地区之间的平衡发展。首先，本文对国内外关于碳排放效率和碳生产率的相关文献进行了梳理，提出了现阶段对于碳排放效率的分析所采用的主要的分析方法。其次，本文介绍了随机前沿模型。分别介绍了不同时期的模型所代表的不同意义，采用了不同的模型对碳排放效率进行了测算，，比较得出了地区间的碳排放效率存在较大的差异。同时，将对碳排放效率有影响的几个因素变量加入模型，测算出1996-2011年的碳排放效率值。第三，本文从时间和空间的角度分析了碳排放效率的变化趋势。主要采用的是核密度估计的方法来对碳排放效率的动态演进进行分析，得出从整体上都是处于上升的阶段。同时，碳排放效率在地区上存在趋异的现象，即可能碳排放效率随着时间的发展表现出更大的地区差异性。最后，本文得出需要建立区域间协调机制，才能够平衡地区的碳排放和经济发展，减少碳排放效率之间的差异。包括地区间的碳配额的设置、地区间碳交易市场、国家层面碳交易市场的建立等。
[Abstract]:As a responsible big country, China has put forward the action target of reducing carbon emissions: by 2020, China's CO2 emissions per unit GDP will be 40 to 45 percent lower than in 2005. With the arrival of 2013, 2020 is only seven years away, but there is still pressure to reduce carbon emissions. National policy formulation will be considered from the economic development and carbon emission control goals. At this stage, whether these two goals can be achieved in a balanced manner, and whether each place can coordinate carbon emission control while maintaining economic development, is one of the main purposes of this paper. Therefore, this paper introduces a more reasonable indicator-carbon productivity, and then analyzes the efficiency of carbon emissions. At the same time, the change of carbon emission efficiency is analyzed intuitively. First of all, this paper reviews the literature on carbon emission efficiency and carbon productivity at home and abroad, and puts forward the main analysis methods of carbon emission efficiency at the present stage. Secondly, the stochastic frontier model is introduced. The different meanings of the models in different periods are introduced, and different models are used to measure the efficiency of carbon emissions. It is concluded that there are great differences in the efficiency of carbon emissions among different regions. At the same time, several factors affecting the efficiency of carbon emissions are added to the model to calculate the efficiency of carbon emissions from 1996 to 2011. Thirdly, this paper analyzes the change trend of carbon emission efficiency from the point of view of time and space. The kernel density estimation method is mainly used to analyze the dynamic evolution of carbon emission efficiency. At the same time, there is a phenomenon that the efficiency of carbon emissions varies in different regions, that is, the efficiency of carbon emissions may show greater regional differences with the development of time. Finally, the paper concludes that it is necessary to establish interregional coordination mechanism in order to balance the regional carbon emissions and economic development and reduce the differences between the efficiency of carbon emissions. It includes the setting of carbon quota between regions, the establishment of carbon trading market among regions and the establishment of carbon trading market at national level.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.5

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