出口贸易对中印经济增长的影响效应研究

发布时间：2018-07-12 18:21

本文选题：出口贸易结构 + 经济增长　；参考：《国际经贸探索》2014年08期

【摘要】：在出口贸易已成为中印经济增长的主要因素和产品内分工正在快速深化的背景下,文章基于出口贸易国内增加值的视角提出测算出口贸易对GDP形成的贡献率,出口贸易增长对GDP增长的影响以及单位出口产生的国内增加值的非竞争型投入产出模型测算方法,进而利用WIOT数据库数据测算了出口贸易对中印经济增长的影响效应。结果表明:出口贸易对中印GDP形成的贡献率呈上升态势,但单位出口产生的国内增加值呈下降趋势,出口规模扩大是出口贸易对中印GDP形成贡献率上升的主要原因。中国出口增长对其经济增长的贡献率呈上升趋势,印度出口增长对其经济增长的贡献呈先上升后下降趋势,出口增长对中国经济增大的拉动作用明显大于对印度经济增长的拉动作用。进一步观察发现,纺织及服装制造业和皮革毛皮羽绒及其制品业等传统优势劳动密集型产业出口对中国GDP形成的贡献率均呈下降趋势,中印均由主要通过出口劳动密集型产品分别转向主要通过技术密集型产品和资本密集型产品来拉动经济的增长。以互联网和相关服务、软件和信息技术服务业为核心的租赁和商务服务业出口贸易对印度经济增长作用明显大于中国。
[Abstract]:Under the background that export trade has become the main factor of economic growth between China and India and the intra-product division of labor is rapidly deepening, this paper puts forward the measurement of the contribution rate of export trade to GDP formation from the perspective of domestic added value of export trade. The influence of export trade growth on GDP growth and the non-competitive input-output model of domestic value added produced by unit export are calculated, and then the effect of export trade on the economic growth of China and India is calculated by using the data of WIOT database. The results show that the contribution rate of export trade to the GDP of China and India is on the rise, but the domestic added value generated by the unit export is decreasing, and the expansion of export scale is the main reason for the increase of the contribution rate of export trade to the GDP of China and India. The contribution rate of China's export growth to its economic growth is on the rise, while the contribution of India's export growth to its economic growth is rising first and then declining. Export growth has a greater pull effect on China's economy than on India's. Further observation shows that the contribution rate of traditional advantage labor-intensive industries, such as textile and clothing manufacturing, leather, down and their products, to the formation of China's GDP shows a downward trend. China and India are mainly through the export of labor-intensive products to mainly through technology-intensive products and capital-intensive products to stimulate economic growth. The export of leasing and business services, with the Internet and related services, software and information technology services as the core, has contributed significantly more to India's economic growth than to China.
【作者单位】：湖南大学经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71303076) 湖南省科技计划项目(2013FJ4282) 湖南省社会科学基金(11JD13)
【分类号】：F752.62;F124;F135.1

【相似文献】