云南省城乡居民收入差距对消费需求的影响

发布时间：2018-07-17 09:00

【摘要】：近年来,随着经济的不断发展,城乡居民收入差距越来越大,引发了社会财富分配不公、内需不足等严重问题,虽然在一定程度上居民的生活水平有了很大的提高,但通过收集数据、建立模型、实证分析的检验下,发现居民的消费率偏低并呈逐步下降的趋势,且出现不均衡的局面,尤其是收入差距的不断扩大,加剧了城乡居民间的消费差距。消费公平是基本人权在较高发展水平上的体现,应该通过努力缩小收入差距去追求,消费、投资和净出口是拉动经济增长的三架马车,而消费需求是总需求中最基本的需求,占据着主导地位,消费需求的增长成为了经济增长的主要动力,而且在很大程度上影响和决定着一个国家经济发展的快慢,对于云南省而言,更是如此。在我国的“十二五”规划纲要中,云南被视为中国面向西南开放的“桥头堡”,本文选择云南省作为研究对象,基于1978-2010年的时间序列数据,通过对城乡居民收入比、城乡居民基尼系数等的研究,阐述了云南省城乡居民收入差距变动的历史轨迹和现状；其次,从云南省城乡居民消费水平和消费结构两个方面出发,从不同的角度出发,利用先关资料和数据,综合分析云南省居民消费需求的状况及消费不足的成因；最后进行实证研究,主要是通过城乡居民收入比对消费需求的计量分析,探讨云南省城乡居民收入差距变动对消费需求的影响。研究显示,发现云南省城乡居民收入差距不断扩大,从一定程度上抑制了消费水平的提高,并且城乡间的消费模式随着经济的增长和时间的推移发生了变化,城镇居民消费对农村居民消费也产生了一定的“示范效应”。本文在对问题进行了深入的研究之后,针对云南省的实际情况,对其存在的恩格尔系数比较高,消费水平低下以及消费结构不合理的问题进行分析,并提出有效的政策建议,改善云南省城乡居民收入差距扩大和低消费局面,促进云南省经济的持续、稳健发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the continuous development of the economy, the income gap between urban and rural residents has become wider and larger, which has caused serious problems such as unfair distribution of social wealth, insufficient domestic demand, and so on, although to a certain extent the living standards of residents have been greatly improved. However, by collecting data, establishing models and testing by empirical analysis, it is found that the consumption rate of residents is on the low side and gradually declining, and there is an unbalanced situation, especially the widening of income gap. The consumption gap between urban and rural residents has been aggravated. Consumption equity is the embodiment of basic human rights at a higher level of development. It should be pursued through efforts to narrow the income gap. Consumption, investment and net exports are the three carriages of economic growth, and consumer demand is the most basic demand in the total demand. The growth of consumer demand has become the main driving force of economic growth, and to a large extent affects and determines the speed of a country's economic development, especially for Yunnan Province. Yunnan is regarded as a bridgehead for the southwest of China in the outline of the 12th Five-Year Plan of China. This paper chooses Yunnan Province as the research object, based on the time series data from 1978 to 2010, through the income ratio of urban and rural residents. Based on the research of Gini coefficient of urban and rural residents, this paper expounds the historical track and present situation of the income gap between urban and rural residents in Yunnan Province. Secondly, from two aspects of consumption level and consumption structure of urban and rural residents in Yunnan Province, it sets out from different angles. Using the data and data, this paper comprehensively analyzes the consumption demand of Yunnan residents and the causes of insufficient consumption. Finally, the empirical study is carried out, mainly through the econometric analysis of the income ratio of urban and rural residents to consumption demand. This paper discusses the influence of income gap between urban and rural residents on consumption demand in Yunnan Province. The study shows that the income gap between urban and rural residents in Yunnan Province is widening, which to some extent inhibits the improvement of consumption level, and the consumption pattern between urban and rural areas has changed with the economic growth and the passage of time. The consumption of urban residents also has a certain "demonstration effect" on the consumption of rural residents. After deeply studying the problem, aiming at the actual situation of Yunnan Province, this paper analyzes the problems such as relatively high Engel coefficient, low consumption level and unreasonable consumption structure, and puts forward some effective policy suggestions. We will improve the widening income gap and low consumption among urban and rural residents in Yunnan Province, and promote the sustained and steady economic development of Yunnan Province.
【学位授予单位】：西南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.7;F126.1

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