服务贸易、新形态国际分工与全球失衡
发布时间：2018-09-03 16:31
【摘要】：过去二十年,全球贸易迅猛发展,但与此同时,全球经济失衡问题也日益突出：全球最大经济体美国的经常账户长期逆差而全球第二大经济体中国的经常账户长期顺差。经济失衡不仅引发各种贸易争端和摩擦,而且是金融危机爆发的根源。因此,探讨全球失衡的原因具有重要的现实意义。本文通过一个两部门模型,阐述了在服务贸易不自由的情况下,“制造业-服务业”的国际分工引发经济失衡的机制,并通过构建基于劳动生产率差异的制造业-服务业显示比较优势指标,对29个OECD国家1995-2007年的数据进行面板回归,检验了“制造业-服务业”的国际分工对经济失衡的影响,并区分了可贸易服务业和不可贸易服务业对经常账户影响的差异。研究结果发现,服务贸易壁垒广泛存在,导致服务贸易开放度远小于货物贸易；在服务贸易被限制的情况下,“制造业-服务业”的国际分工会引发全球经济的失衡。本文还发现,可贸易程度越高的服务业的比较优势对经常账户的影响更大。因此,服务贸易不自由下的“制造业-可贸易服务业”的国际分工才是全球经济失衡的根源。基于这些研究结论,本文提出服务贸易自由化的政策建议,对于缓解当前全球经济失衡有重要的意义。
[Abstract]:Global trade has grown rapidly over the past two decades, but at the same time global imbalances have become increasingly acute: the world's largest economy, the United States, has a chronic current account deficit and China, the world's second-largest economy, has a long-term current account surplus. Economic imbalances not only lead to various trade disputes and frictions, but also the root of the financial crisis. Therefore, to explore the causes of global imbalances has important practical significance. Based on a two-sector model, this paper expounds the mechanism of the international division of "manufacturing-service" to cause economic imbalance under the condition that trade in services is not free. By constructing the index of comparative advantage between manufacturing and service industry based on the labor productivity difference, the panel regression of 29 OECD countries' data from 1995 to 2007 is carried out to test the impact of the international division of labor on the economic imbalance of "manufacturing and service industry". The difference between tradable services and non-tradable services on current account is also discussed. The results show that the wide existence of barriers to trade in services leads to a much less open degree of trade in services than trade in goods, and when the trade in services is restricted, the international trade unions in "manufacturing-service" cause the imbalance of the global economy. It is also found that the comparative advantage of services with higher degree of trade has a greater impact on the current account. Therefore, the international division of labor between manufacturing and tradable services is the root of the global economic imbalance. Based on these conclusions, this paper puts forward policy recommendations on liberalization of trade in services, which is of great significance to alleviate the current global economic imbalance.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F113;F746.18
本文编号：2220538
[Abstract]:Global trade has grown rapidly over the past two decades, but at the same time global imbalances have become increasingly acute: the world's largest economy, the United States, has a chronic current account deficit and China, the world's second-largest economy, has a long-term current account surplus. Economic imbalances not only lead to various trade disputes and frictions, but also the root of the financial crisis. Therefore, to explore the causes of global imbalances has important practical significance. Based on a two-sector model, this paper expounds the mechanism of the international division of "manufacturing-service" to cause economic imbalance under the condition that trade in services is not free. By constructing the index of comparative advantage between manufacturing and service industry based on the labor productivity difference, the panel regression of 29 OECD countries' data from 1995 to 2007 is carried out to test the impact of the international division of labor on the economic imbalance of "manufacturing and service industry". The difference between tradable services and non-tradable services on current account is also discussed. The results show that the wide existence of barriers to trade in services leads to a much less open degree of trade in services than trade in goods, and when the trade in services is restricted, the international trade unions in "manufacturing-service" cause the imbalance of the global economy. It is also found that the comparative advantage of services with higher degree of trade has a greater impact on the current account. Therefore, the international division of labor between manufacturing and tradable services is the root of the global economic imbalance. Based on these conclusions, this paper puts forward policy recommendations on liberalization of trade in services, which is of great significance to alleviate the current global economic imbalance.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F113;F746.18
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前2条
1 徐建炜;姚洋;;国际分工新形态、金融市场发展与全球失衡[J];世界经济;2010年03期
2 Jun Zhang;Dongbo Tang;Yubo Zhan;;Foreign Value-added in China's Manufactured Exports:Implications for China's Trade Imbalance[J];China & World Economy;2012年01期
，本文编号：2220538
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