台商直接投资对上海经济发展影响

发布时间：2018-09-12 10:20

【摘要】：全球经济发展的步伐不断加快，中国已从2011年开始超越日本成为世界第二大经济体。台湾地区领导人马英九在2012年连任后，两岸之间的经济合作也成为两岸政府关注的焦点。1978年改革开放以来，上海吸引了大量台商直接投资，经过最近10年的高速增长，上海吸收台商直接投资初见成效。本文基于前人有关外商直接投资理论的基础上，研究了大量关于台商对大陆不同省市直接投资的实证研究，以中国及上海基本情况为依托，针对台商直接投资对上海经济发展的影响进行实证研究。首先本文分析了上海吸收和利用台商直接投资的历史轨迹，上海利用台商直接投资结构特点，并对上海在利用台商直接投资过程中的问题作了详细分析，同时提出台商外迁上海的现象。其次从台商直接投资对上海经济增长、进出口贸易、技术溢出、劳动力就业等四方面影响着手，运用计量分析法中的线性回归理论、P检验、R检验方法，并在权威网站上采集出大量数据，实证研究出台商直接投资对上海经济发展增长贡献系数为负值，对上海技术溢出效应的功效值也为负值。最后客观的分析了上海台商直接投资面临新的机遇和挑战，以及在全球经济低迷，美国号召制造业回归本土国际形势下，上海需要继续吸收和利用台湾商直接投资，不可放弃制造业也不可放弃台商直接投资的电子制造业，并对上海市提出对策和建议，包含挽留人才所给与的上海市市民待遇政策，人才公寓的批量建设，最低工资制定的合理考虑等。本文较为系统研究影响台商直接投资对上海经济发展的影响，运用实证分析构造线形回归模型，，并对模拟的结果进行P检验和R检验，这是本文的研究特色。本文由于文献资料有限，只掌握国内参考资料和研究方法，没有英文资料可以参照，这也是本文进一步研究的方向所在。
[Abstract]:China has overtaken Japan as the world's second-largest economy since 2011. After Ma Yingjiu, the leader of the Taiwan region, was re-elected in 2012, economic cooperation between the two sides of the strait has also become the focus of attention of the cross-strait government. Since the reform and opening up in 1978, Shanghai has attracted a large number of Taiwanese direct investment, which has been growing at a high speed in the past 10 years. Shanghai's absorption of direct investment from Taiwan has yielded initial results. Based on the previous theories of foreign direct investment (FDI), this paper studies a large number of empirical studies on Taiwanese direct investment in different provinces and cities in mainland China, based on the basic situation of China and Shanghai. This paper makes an empirical study on the impact of Taiwanese direct investment on Shanghai's economic development. First of all, this paper analyzes the historical track of absorbing and utilizing Taiwanese direct investment in Shanghai, the structural characteristics of using Taiwan direct investment in Shanghai, and makes a detailed analysis of the problems in the process of using Taiwanese direct investment in Shanghai. At the same time, the phenomenon of Taiwanese businessmen emigrating to Shanghai is put forward. Secondly, it influences Shanghai's economic growth, import and export trade, technology spillover and labor force employment from four aspects of Taiwanese direct investment. The linear regression theory in econometric analysis is used to test the R test method. The empirical research shows that the contribution coefficient of direct investment to Shanghai's economic development is negative, and the efficiency of technology spillover effect is negative. Finally, it objectively analyzes the new opportunities and challenges faced by Shanghai Taiwanese direct investment, as well as the need for Shanghai to continue to absorb and utilize Taiwanese direct investment in the face of the global economic downturn and the call by the United States to the manufacturing industry to return to the international situation at home. We must not abandon the manufacturing industry or the electronic manufacturing industry, which is invested directly by Taiwanese businessmen, and put forward some countermeasures and suggestions to Shanghai, including the policy on the treatment of Shanghai citizens to retain talents, and the mass construction of talent apartments. A reasonable consideration of the setting of a minimum wage, etc. This paper systematically studies the impact of Taiwanese direct investment on the economic development of Shanghai, uses empirical analysis to construct linear regression model, and carries out P test and R test on the results of simulation, which is the research feature of this paper. Due to the limited literature, this paper only grasps the domestic reference materials and research methods, and has no English data to refer to, which is the direction of further research in this paper.
【学位授予单位】：上海外国语大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F224

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