机电产品出口对安徽省经济增长的效应研究

发布时间：2018-10-08 07:20

【摘要】：近年来,随着安徽省经济的发展,机电产品的出口也取得了长足进步,已成为全省第一大类出口产品。机电产品大部分是资本和技术密集型产品,其附加值高,发展速度快,带动作用强,其发展水平往往代表了一个国家和地区工业发展的实力。因此,本文从省域对外贸易的角度出发,研究了安徽省机电产品出口对其经济发展的促进效应。本文首先介绍了安徽省机电产品的出口情况并分析了机电产品的出口竞争力。经分析发现,安徽省机电产品呈现出出口增长迅速,出口产品结构不断优化,出口企业主体加强,出口市场不断多元化等特点,但同时,与国内机电出口大省(如广东、江苏和浙江)相比,安徽省机电产品出口还有不足之处,如出口竞争力较弱,出口产品的科技含量较低,附加值较低等。本文研究的重心在于机电产品出口对安徽省经济增长的实证分析。首先分析了机电产品通过规模经济效应、产业集群效应和竞争效应这三个方面促进了经济增长；然后对机电产品出口与经济增长进行了协整检验,得出二者之间存在着长期动态均衡关系；接着通过Granger因果检验方法检验了机电产品出口与安徽省经济增长的因果关系,得出机电出口带动了安徽经济增长,而安徽经济增长并没有推动机电产品的出口的结论；并进一步用联立方程模型估计了机电产品出口对经济增长的直接影响及通过消费、投资和进口对经济增长间接影响之和,得出机电产品出口正向带动了安徽省的经济增长,但从数值上看,对经济增长的贡献率不高,并随之简要分析了影响机电产品出口对经济增长贡献率的一些因素。论文最后就如何提高机电产品出口对安徽省经济增长的促进效应,从政府、行业协会和企业三个层面提出了一些建议,政府要对机电出口企业加大经济政策支持力度,积极引进外资,做好服务工作等；行业协会要发挥好自身职能,做好协调、咨询、服务等工作；企业要加大自主创新力度,注重品牌建设,积极应对贸易摩擦等。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the economic development of Anhui Province, the export of mechanical and electrical products has made considerable progress, has become the province's largest category of export products. Mechanical and electrical products are mostly capital-and technology-intensive products with high added value, fast development speed and strong driving force, and their development level often represents the strength of a country and a region's industrial development. Therefore, from the point of view of provincial foreign trade, this paper studies the promoting effect of the export of mechanical and electrical products in Anhui Province on its economic development. This paper first introduces the export situation of mechanical and electrical products in Anhui Province and analyzes the export competitiveness of mechanical and electrical products. It is found that the export of mechanical and electrical products in Anhui Province is increasing rapidly, the structure of export products is constantly optimized, the main body of export enterprises is strengthened, and the export market is diversifying, etc., but at the same time, with the large export provinces of China, such as Guangdong, Compared with Zhejiang Province, Anhui Province has some shortcomings in the export of mechanical and electrical products, such as weak export competitiveness, low scientific and technological content of export products, low added value and so on. The focus of this study is the empirical analysis of the export of mechanical and electrical products to the economic growth of Anhui Province. First of all, the paper analyzes that electromechanical products promote economic growth through three aspects: scale economy effect, industrial cluster effect and competition effect, and then carries out cointegration test on the export of electromechanical products and economic growth. It is concluded that there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between the two, and then the Granger causality test method is used to test the causality between the export of mechanical and electrical products and the economic growth of Anhui Province, and it is concluded that the export of machinery and electrical products drives the economic growth of Anhui Province. However, the economic growth of Anhui has not promoted the export of mechanical and electrical products, and the direct effect of export of mechanical and electrical products on economic growth is estimated by using the simultaneous equation model, and the sum of indirect effects of consumption, investment and import on economic growth is estimated. It is concluded that the export of mechanical and electrical products has a positive effect on the economic growth of Anhui Province, but the contribution rate to economic growth is not high from a numerical point of view, and some factors affecting the contribution rate of export of mechanical and electrical products to economic growth are analyzed briefly. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to improve the promoting effect of export of mechanical and electrical products on Anhui province's economic growth from three aspects: government, trade association and enterprise. The government should strengthen the economic policy support to the mechanical and electrical export enterprises. We should actively introduce foreign capital and do a good job in service; trade associations should give full play to their own functions, coordinate, consult, and serve; and enterprises should increase independent innovation, pay attention to brand building, and actively deal with trade frictions.
【学位授予单位】：安徽大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F752.62

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