气候变化背景下西北航道自然环境危险性评估

发布时间：2018-01-18 02:33

  本文关键词：气候变化背景下西北航道自然环境危险性评估　出处：《海洋通报》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

  更多相关文章： 气候变化 西北通道 指标体系 危险性评估

【摘要】：在气候变化背景下,北冰洋"西北航道"开通预期提前,为我国能源战略带来良好的发展机遇,同时其社会政治效应及气候变化和影响的复杂性、不确定性也使该航道面临潜在风险和挑战。引进风险分析的理论和方法,对全球气候变化对影响"西北航道"的自然环境开展研究。针对气候变化对"西北航道"自然环境潜在风险要素进行梳理,构建危险性评价指标体系,对自然灾害危险性进行综合定量的评估区划。
[Abstract]:Under the background of climate change, the Arctic Ocean "Northwest Passage" is expected to open ahead of schedule, which brings good development opportunities for China's energy strategy, at the same time, its social and political effects and the complexity of climate change and impact. Uncertainty also makes the channel face potential risks and challenges. The theory and method of risk analysis are introduced. This paper studies the influence of global climate change on the natural environment of "Northwest Passage". In view of climate change, the potential risk factors of the natural environment of "Northwest Passage" are sorted out, and the risk assessment index system is constructed. The risk of natural disasters is assessed quantitatively and synthetically.
【作者单位】： 解放军理工大学气象海洋学院;
【分类号】：U612;P467
【正文快照】： 北极“西北航道”的探索史始于15世纪新航路开辟运动,当时欧洲各国纷纷探索通往东方的海上航道,英国人率先取道北冰洋,希望穿越北极海域到达太平洋。恶劣的气候及地理环境条件,使得探险家在20世纪初才得以完全从水域穿行“西北航道”,航道因其安全系数过低被历史尘封,而关于航，

本文编号：1439100