高速公路改扩建工程预算定额编制方法研究

发布时间：2019-07-04 21:50

【摘要】：随着社会经济的发展,我国高速公路交通量增长迅猛,原有部分高速公路已成“瓶颈路”,对其改扩建是必然的趋势。但高速公路改扩建工程的造价管理一直延用交通运输部颁布的公路工程预算定额,无法满足高速公路改扩建工程合理确定工程造价和有效控制工程造价的需要。因此开展高速公路改扩建工程预算定额编制方法的研究,为改扩建工程提供科学、有效、实用的造价管理依据非常必要。本文从高速公路改扩建工程的现状及发展背景出发,论述高速公路改扩建工程的技术、经济及施工管理等特点;分析改扩建工程定额消耗量数据的采集与处理及影响定额消耗量的因素;针对高速公路改扩建工程项目的具体情况,提出了基于实测数据的蒙特卡洛模拟及基于影响因素分析的模糊层次对比分析预测的改扩建工程预算定额消耗量确定的理论模型。运用蒙特卡洛模拟、模糊层次对比分析预测、基于调查问卷的主成分分析等理论、方法并借助spss、matlab等软件工具,深入研究高速公路改扩建工程预算定额的编制方法,为改扩建工程定额的编制积累经验。高速公路改扩建工程预算定额的编制研究不仅填补我国改扩建工程造价管理的空白,对规范高速公路改扩建工程计价,合理确定工程造价,确保工程造价有效控制,进一步提高公路改扩建工程的经济与社会效益等都有重要的现实意义和深远的指导意义。
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图片说明：正态曲线直方图
[Abstract]:With the development of social economy, the traffic volume of expressway in China is growing rapidly, and some of the original highways have become "bottleneck roads", so it is an inevitable trend to reconstruct and expand them. However, the cost management of expressway reconstruction and expansion project has been extended to the highway project budget quota promulgated by the Ministry of Transport, which can not meet the needs of reasonable determination of project cost and effective control of project cost. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out the research on the compilation method of budget quota for expressway reconstruction and expansion project to provide scientific, effective and practical cost management basis for reconstruction and expansion project. Based on the present situation and development background of expressway reconstruction and expansion project, this paper discusses the technical, economic and construction management characteristics of expressway reconstruction and expansion project, analyzes the collection and processing of quota consumption data and the factors affecting quota consumption. In view of the concrete situation of expressway reconstruction and extension project, this paper puts forward the theoretical model of determining the budget quota consumption of reconstruction and extension project based on Monte Carlo simulation based on measured data and fuzzy hierarchical comparative analysis based on influencing factor analysis. By using Monte Carlo simulation, fuzzy hierarchical comparative analysis and prediction, based on the principal component analysis theory of questionnaire, and with the help of spss,matlab and other software tools, this paper deeply studies the compilation method of budget quota for expressway reconstruction and expansion project, and accumulates experience for the compilation of reconstruction and expansion project quota. The study on the compilation of budget quota of expressway reconstruction and expansion project not only fills in the blank of cost management of reconstruction and extension project in our country, but also has important practical significance and far-reaching guiding significance for standardizing the valuation of highway reconstruction and expansion project, reasonably determining the project cost, ensuring the effective control of the project cost, and further improving the economic and social benefits of the highway reconstruction and expansion project.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：U418.8;U415.13

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