确证悖论的贝叶斯型解决方案探析

发布时间：2018-02-24 08:37

本文关键词： 确证悖论贝叶斯型解决方案假定　出处：《科学技术与辩证法》2007年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：确证悖论是科学哲学和逻辑哲学中的重要难题,不少人致力于解决它。广为接受的一种解决方案是贝叶斯型方案。这种方案有一系列经验假定、认识论假定和公设。可以发现这种类型的方案至少在经验假定层面有一个漏洞,从而表明它不能成为确证悖论的良好方案。更进一步,还可以质疑其他层面的假定的合理性。对这些假定的质疑与相应的辩护、修正构成了贝叶斯型解决方案的发展动力。
[Abstract]:Confirming paradoxes is an important problem in philosophy of science and philosophy of logic, and many people are committed to solving it. One widely accepted solution is the Bayesian solution, which has a series of empirical assumptions. Epistemological assumptions and postulates... It can be found that this type of scheme has at least one loophole at the level of empirical assumptions, thus indicating that it cannot be a good solution for corroborating paradoxes. It is also possible to question the reasonableness of the assumptions at other levels. The challenge to these assumptions and the corresponding justifications constitute the driving force for the development of Bayesian solutions.
【作者单位】：华中科技大学哲学系
【基金】：华中科技大学人文社会科学青年重点项目
【分类号】：B81

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