财政民生支出对居民消费的区域效应研究——基于CFPS数据的实证分析

发布时间：2018-02-13 14:56

本文关键词： 财政民生支出居民消费区域效应　出处：《经济问题探索》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：消费是经济增长的重要引擎,是我国发展的巨大潜力所在。新常态下,如何发挥财政的作用,推进城乡居民的消费升级,促进经济健康发展,是目前十分值得探究的问题。本文通过中国家庭追踪调查数据库(CFPS),利用固定效应面板数据模型以及分样本回归方法,使用中国56个地市2010-2014年的微观家庭面板数据,分析了财政民生支出对居民消费的区域效应。实证结果表明,教育支出对居民消费的效应最为显著,尤其是对西部农村居民的消费具有很高的促进作用;医疗卫生支出对居民消费的效应只在中东部地区有效,社会保障支出对无自有住房居民的消费具有促进作用。就促进居民的消费升级而言,西部的教育支出对居民的发展性消费较为有效,中东部的医疗卫生支出对居民的发展性消费影响效果更大,而社会保障支出则对各地区居民的发展性消费影响均不显著。
[Abstract]:Consumption is an important engine of economic growth and a great potential for the development of our country. Under the new normal, how to give full play to the role of finance, to promote the consumption upgrade of urban and rural residents, and to promote the healthy development of the economy, It is a problem worth exploring at present. In this paper, the data of micro household panel of 56 prefectures in China from 2010 to 2014 are used by using CFPSG, fixed effect panel data model and sample regression method. The empirical results show that the education expenditure has the most significant effect on the residents' consumption, especially on the western rural residents' consumption. The effect of medical and health expenditure on residents' consumption is only effective in the central and eastern part of the country, and social security expenditure has a positive effect on the consumption of residents without their own housing. The education expenditure in the west is more effective to the development consumption of the residents, the medical and health expenditure in the central and eastern part has a greater effect on the development consumption of the residents, while the social security expenditure has no significant effect on the development consumption of the residents in each region.
【作者单位】：厦门大学经济学院;中国社会科学院财经战略研究院;
【分类号】：F126.1;F224;F812.45

【相似文献】