经济增长的财政效应分析:以1970——2014年的日本为例

发布时间：2018-03-09 05:04

本文选题：经济增长　切入点：财政效应　出处：《山东社会科学》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：日本作为亚洲唯一的发达国家在二战后经济重建与发展阶段,政府始终奉行凯恩斯经济学的宏观经济调控策略,甚至通过赤字财政扩大政府调控、诱导投资、刺激社会总需求。回顾日本1970-2014年经济增长的财政效应发现,每当经济发生剧烈波动时,日本政府都首先以扩张性财政政策进行"维稳",基于这一规律对日本经济增长的财政效应进一步分析发现:总财政支出对经济增长的财政效应是正向的且泡沫经济崩溃后有增大的趋势;财政支出结构对经济增长存在比较显著的正向财政效应,在泡沫经济崩溃后除文化教育的财政效应变化不大之外,其它支出的财政效应均有所改变,表现为社会保障支出、公共投资、经济建设的财政效应逐渐减弱以及国债支出、养老金、国防费的财政效应逐渐增大的态势,特别是国防费的财政效应呈现"成倍"放大的特点,引人注目。
[Abstract]:As the only developed country in Asia, in the stage of economic reconstruction and development after World War II, the Japanese government always pursued the Keynesian macroeconomic control strategy, and even expanded government regulation and control through deficit finance to induce investment. Stimulating aggregate social demand. Looking back at the fiscal effects of Japan's 1970-2014 economic growth, it was found that whenever the economy fluctuates violently, First of all, the Japanese government adopts expansionary fiscal policy to "maintain stability". Based on this law, the financial effect of Japanese economic growth is further analyzed. It is found that the fiscal effect of total fiscal expenditure on economic growth is positive and bubble. After the economic collapse, there is an increasing trend; The structure of fiscal expenditure has significant positive fiscal effect on economic growth. After the collapse of bubble economy, except for the financial effect of culture and education, the fiscal effect of other expenditure has changed, which is shown as social security expenditure. The fiscal effect of public investment and economic construction is weakening gradually, and the fiscal effect of national debt expenditure, pension fund and defense expenditure is gradually increasing. Especially, the fiscal effect of defense expenditure is magnified by "multiple", which is noticeable.
【作者单位】：山东大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部重点研究基地项目“当代资本主义发展的阶段性特征研究”(编号:2009JJD840011)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F131.3;F813.13

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