社会保障转移支付与农村居民消费的门槛效应

发布时间：2018-03-09 06:14

  本文选题：农村社保支出　切入点：吉芬陷进　出处：《社会保障研究》2015年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文就农村社会保障支出与农村居民消费之间的关系,构建面板门限模型进行实证分析,发现农村社保支出与农村居民消费并不是呈现简单的线性相关关系。因为,在农村社保强度较低的时候,农村社保支出并不会增加农村居民消费,从而使得社会保障支出进入"吉芬陷进";只有当农村社保支出持续增加并超过某一临界值时,农村社保支出对于消费的贡献程度才会发生跃迁,呈现正向相关关系。因此,政府对于农村社保的消费效应持有较为长远的眼光,持续投入、逐步完善,才能激发农村居民的消费。
[Abstract]:Based on the empirical analysis of the relationship between rural social security expenditure and rural residents' consumption, this paper constructs a panel threshold model and finds that the relationship between rural social security expenditure and rural residents' consumption is not a simple linear correlation. When the intensity of rural social security is low, rural social security spending does not increase rural residents' consumption, thus making social security expenditure "Jifen trap"; only when rural social security expenditure continues to increase and exceed a certain threshold, The contribution of rural social security expenditure to consumption will change, showing a positive correlation. Therefore, the government has a longer term view on the consumption effect of rural social security, continuously invested, and gradually improved. Can stimulate the consumption of rural residents.
【作者单位】： 中南财经政法大学统计与数学学院;
【分类号】：D632.1;F323.8
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本文编号：1587323