经济增长、社会保障和储蓄的互动性关系研究
发布时间：2018-07-31 20:07
【摘要】：采用向量自回归模型、向量误差修正模型以及脉冲响应和方差分解方法,对经济增长、社会保障和储蓄的互动性关系进行实证研究。结果表明,从长期看,经济增长对社会保障有巨大的影响,但影响的方向存在不确定性,同时,经济增长也会促使储蓄率的上升。社会保障对储蓄率有显著的促进作用,当社会保障转移收入提高,储蓄率也有相应增长,而储蓄率的上升并没有对经济增长起到促进作用。此外,向量误差模型也表明经济增长、社会保障和国民储蓄率都受到自身滞后期的影响。
[Abstract]:Using vector autoregressive model, vector error correction model, impulse response and variance decomposition method, this paper makes an empirical study on the interactive relationship among economic growth, social security and savings. The results show that, in the long run, economic growth has a great impact on social security, but the direction of the impact is uncertain. At the same time, economic growth will also promote the increase of savings rate. Social security has a significant role in promoting the savings rate. When the social security transfer income increases, the savings rate also increases correspondingly, but the increase of the savings rate does not promote the economic growth. In addition, the vector error model also shows that economic growth, social security and national savings rate are affected by their own lag.
【作者单位】： 浙江广播电视大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：浙江省教育厅科研资助项目(Y201328653)
【分类号】：F124.1;F832.22;D632.1
，
本文编号：2156694
[Abstract]:Using vector autoregressive model, vector error correction model, impulse response and variance decomposition method, this paper makes an empirical study on the interactive relationship among economic growth, social security and savings. The results show that, in the long run, economic growth has a great impact on social security, but the direction of the impact is uncertain. At the same time, economic growth will also promote the increase of savings rate. Social security has a significant role in promoting the savings rate. When the social security transfer income increases, the savings rate also increases correspondingly, but the increase of the savings rate does not promote the economic growth. In addition, the vector error model also shows that economic growth, social security and national savings rate are affected by their own lag.
【作者单位】： 浙江广播电视大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：浙江省教育厅科研资助项目(Y201328653)
【分类号】：F124.1;F832.22;D632.1
，
本文编号：2156694
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/shekelunwen/shehuibaozhanglunwen/2156694.html
