21世纪海上丝绸之路的中国与东盟共赢性研究——基于中国与东盟合作效应的计量

发布时间：2018-03-09 06:12

本文选题：中国　切入点：-　出处：《商业经济研究》2017年22期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文运用1995-2015年数据实证分析中国与东盟双边贸易、投资与经济发展的关系,从理论上检验CAFTA的建设与升级发展必然使双边经济发展实现共赢。中国对东盟的出口以及东盟对中国的直接投资都将对中国经济产生正面的影响,从东盟的进口对中国经济虽短期影响不显著,但长期正面影响效果明显;而东盟对中国的进口和来自中国的投资,都将对东盟的经济产生正面的影响。因此,在"一带一路"和"升级版"背景下,中国应当抓住合作新机遇,构建以中国为核心的自贸区体系,努力提升双边经贸合作关系,建设好中国-东盟自贸区。
[Abstract]:This paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between bilateral trade, investment and economic development between China and ASEAN from 1995 to 2015. Theoretically, testing the construction and upgrading of CAFTA will inevitably make bilateral economic development win-win. Both China's exports to ASEAN and ASEAN's direct investment in China will have a positive impact on China's economy. Although imports from ASEAN have no significant impact on China's economy in the short term, the long-term positive effects are obvious, while both ASEAN imports to China and investment from China will have a positive impact on ASEAN's economy. Under the background of "Belt and Road" and "upgrade edition", China should seize the new opportunity of cooperation, construct a free trade zone system with China as the core, strive to promote bilateral economic and trade cooperation, and build a good China-ASEAN free trade area.
【作者单位】：中山大学新华学院;广东外语外贸大学;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(16JZD018) 广东省教育厅“专业综合改革试点项目”(2015z002);广东省教育厅普通高校青年创新人才类项目(2014WQNCX193)
【分类号】：F125

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