“一带一路”背景下中国对中亚五国FDI的双边贸易影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 08:53

本文选题：“一带一路”　切入点：中亚五国　出处：《新疆大学学报(哲学·人文社会科学版)》2017年02期

【摘要】："一带一路"战略的实施,为中国和沿线各国经济贸易发展带来新的历史机遇。文章选取2004—2014年中国对中亚五国11年间的FDI与进出口贸易数据,分析中国对中亚五国的FDI存量对双边贸易的影响,在此基础上建立面板模型进行实证检验。研究结果表明,中国对中亚五国FDI有显著的贸易促进作用;但是分国别看,中国对哈萨克斯坦和土库曼斯坦FDI的进口促进效应大于出口创造效应,中国对乌兹别克斯坦和塔吉克斯坦FDI的进口促进效应小于出口创造效应。因此,在"一带一路"战略的实施过程中,应扩大中国对中亚五国FDI的规模,并根据各国具体情况来制定FDI的方向,发挥FDI促进双边贸易发展的作用。
[Abstract]:The implementation of Belt and Road's strategy has brought new historical opportunities for the economic and trade development of China and other countries along the route.Based on the data of FDI and import and export trade between China and the five Central Asian countries from 2004 to 2014, this paper analyzes the impact of China's FDI stock on the bilateral trade of the five Central Asian countries, and then establishes a panel model for empirical testing.The results show that China has a significant trade promotion effect on the FDI of the five Central Asian countries, but by country, China's import promotion effect to Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan's FDI is greater than the export creation effect.China's import promotion effect to Uzbekistan and Tajikistan's FDI is smaller than the export creation effect.Therefore, in the course of carrying out Belt and Road's strategy, we should expand the scale of China's FDI to the five Central Asian countries, formulate the direction of FDI according to the specific conditions of each country, and give play to the role of FDI in promoting the development of bilateral trade.
【作者单位】：山西财经大学资源型经济转型协同创新中心;山西财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“国家重点生态功能区农户生计能力测度及精准扶贫政策研究”(16YJCZH131) 山西省哲学社会科学规划课题“山西沿黄贫困区农户生计状态测度及精准扶贫研究”(晋规划办[2016]2号)
【分类号】：F752.7

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