“一带一路”沿线五国互联互通评价研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 16:46

本文选题：“一带一路”　切入点：互联互通　出处：《东华大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：人类社会处于大合作时代,信息时代的到来更是为国家间的合作提供了更为便利的发展条件,“地球村”应运而生。习近平主席提出的“一带一路”战略目标远大,内容丰富,已经引起了各国政府的积极响应。沿线各国资源禀赋不同,且多方面可以互补,这次合作将会开发无穷的潜力。中国与“一带一路”沿线国的贸易投资合作将有助于两国城市的繁荣以及当地经济的发展。同周边国家区域互联互通,可以形成一种全方位的开放新格局,双方合作探索新的经济增长点,优化国家资源配置,实现区域经济和社会同步发展。国家指出“一带一路”沿线国与我国之间的合作应当具有政策沟通、设施联通、贸易畅通、资金融通、民心相通的特点。近年来“一带一路”合作建设的发展刚开始起步并有了一定的成果,因此沿线国目前与我国互联互通的情况是一个值得研究问题,且可以为政府、企业的合作决策提供参考和建议。结合“一带一路”的发展现状,响应国家互联互通发展的号召,运用配额抽样法从“一带一路”沿线64国中选取5个样本国家作为研究对象,包括了俄罗斯、新加坡、阿联酋、哈萨克斯坦以及巴基斯坦。并设定政策沟通、设施联通、贸易畅通、资金融通、民心相通共“五通”作为评价互联互通程度的一级指标。结合大量的文献阅读以及国家政府的发言报告、文案倡导最终确定了15个二级指标,40个三级指标。根据互联互通评价指标体系的建立,以及获得数据的复杂性和相对性,比较了主成分分析法、因子分析法、聚类分析法、专家评价法、熵权法等多种传统评价方法的优缺点,最终选择熵权法对数据进行分析处理。首先将获取的数据进行无量纲标准化处理,然后根据离散值信息量大小借助熵权法对五国数据进行权重赋值,最终计算求出五个样本国互联互通情况的综合评价值,并对其进行多方位的排序分析比较。在选取的5个样本国中,俄罗斯和新加坡两国与我国互联互通程度较高,阿联酋中等,而哈萨克斯坦和巴基斯坦与我国的互联互通程度相对较低,有待增强。
[Abstract]:Human society is in the era of great cooperation, and the arrival of the information age has provided more convenient conditions for the development of cooperation between countries, and "global village" has emerged as the times require.President Belt and Road's "Belt and Road" strategic goal is ambitious and rich in content, which has aroused the positive response of various governments.Countries along the route have different resource endowments and can complement each other in many ways. This cooperation will open up boundless potential.Trade and investment cooperation between China and other countries along Belt and Road will contribute to the prosperity of cities and the development of local economy.The interconnection with the neighboring countries can form a new pattern of all-around opening, and the two sides can cooperate to explore new economic growth points, optimize the allocation of national resources, and realize the simultaneous development of regional economy and society.The state points out that the cooperation between the countries along Belt and Road and China should have the characteristics of policy communication, facilities connection, smooth trade, capital financing, and mutual understanding among the people.In recent years, the development of "Belt and Road" cooperation construction has just begun to start and has made certain achievements. Therefore, the current situation of connectivity between the countries along the route and China is a problem worth studying and can be considered for the government.The enterprise cooperation decision provides the reference and the suggestion.In light of the current development situation of "Belt and Road" and in response to the call for the development of national connectivity, five sample countries were selected from 64 countries along the "Belt and Road" route by using the quota sampling method, including Russia, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates.Kazakhstan and Pakistan.And set up policy communication, facilities connection, trade smooth, funds financing, the people's hearts and minds of the "five links" as the evaluation of the degree of connectivity index.Combined with a large number of literature reading and the national government's speech report, the paper advocates the final determination of 15 secondary indicators, 40 third-level indicators.According to the establishment of evaluation index system of interconnection and the complexity and relativity of obtaining data, the advantages and disadvantages of traditional evaluation methods, such as principal component analysis, factor analysis, cluster analysis, expert evaluation and entropy weight, are compared.Finally, entropy weight method is chosen to analyze and process the data.Firstly, the obtained data is processed by dimensionless standardization, and then the five countries' data are weighted by entropy weight method according to the information quantity of discrete value, and finally the comprehensive evaluation value of the interconnection of five samples is calculated.And carries on the multi-directional sorting analysis and comparison to it.Among the five sample countries, Russia and Singapore have a high degree of connectivity with China, while the UAE has a moderate degree, while Kazakhstan and Pakistan have a relatively low degree of connectivity with China, which needs to be strengthened.
【学位授予单位】：东华大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125

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