“一带一路”国家交通基础设施质量与中国货物出口

发布时间：2018-05-09 06:16

本文选题：“一带一路” + 交通基础设施　；参考：《当代财经》2017年11期

【摘要】：从理论上讲,"一带一路"国家交通基础设施质量的提升可以通过贸易创造效应、贸易转移效应和贸易替代效应对中国货物出口产生影响。采用2014年中国对"一带一路"沿线52个国家HS6位产品层面出口数据,基于引力模型分析沿线国家交通基础设施质量对中国货物出口的影响。实证结果表明:"一带一路"国家交通基础设施质量的提升有利于中国货物出口的增长;沿线国家公路、铁路、港口和航空基础设施的改善均能促进中国出口贸易;沿线中蒙俄、中新、中伊士和新亚欧大陆桥经济走廊交通基础设施质量的提升对中国货物出口能产生正向影响,但孟中印缅经济走廊交通基础设施的改善对中国货物出口的影响并不显著。
[Abstract]:Theoretically speaking, the improvement of the quality of transport infrastructure of "Belt and Road" can be effected by trade creation effect, trade transfer effect and trade substitution effect on China's export of goods. Based on the HS6 product level export data from China to 52 countries along Belt and Road in 2014, this paper analyzes the impact of transport infrastructure quality on China's export of goods based on gravity model. The empirical results show that the improvement of the quality of transportation infrastructure of "Belt and Road" is conducive to the growth of China's export of goods, the improvement of national roads, railways, ports and aviation infrastructure along the route can promote China's export trade, and along the route, China, Mongolia, Russia, China, Mongolia and Russia, The improvement of transport infrastructure in the economic corridor between China and New Asia and Europe can have a positive impact on China's export of goods, but the improvement of transport infrastructure in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar and Bangladesh does not have a significant impact on China's export of goods.
【作者单位】：南京大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究基地重大项目“长江三角洲全面建设小康社会中的开放发展研究”(16JJD790025)
【分类号】：F511;F752.62

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