“一带一路”下中国OFDI对中亚五国经济增长的影响测度

发布时间：2018-06-27 12:22

本文选题：OFDI + 中亚国　；参考：《河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2015年05期

【摘要】：中亚5国是"一带一路"战略下中国重点投资对象。运用C-D生产函数构建FGLS模型,基于2003—2013年面板数据测度中国OFDI对中亚5国经济增长影响程度。研究表明:中国OFDI对中亚5国经济增长的总体影响比较显著,但各国影响程度有差异,对哈萨克斯坦影响最为显著,其次是塔吉克斯坦和土库曼斯坦,对吉尔吉斯斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦的影响很弱。综合各种因素,预测在"一带一路"战略下,中国OFDI对中亚5国经济增长的影响差异会进一步扩大:塔吉克斯坦提升空间最大,其次是乌兹别克斯坦,其他3国影响不大。这为中国提供了具体的投资建议:在投资环境评估、投资合作对象、投资领域以及合作方式方面全方位转变投资合作模式。
[Abstract]:The five Central Asian countries are the key investment targets of China under the "Belt and Road" strategy. The FGLS model is constructed by using C-D production function. Based on panel data from 2003 to 2013, the impact of Chinese OFDI on the economic growth of five countries in Central Asia is measured. The results show that China's OFDI has a significant impact on the economic growth of the five Central Asian countries, but there are differences in the degree of influence among different countries, and the impact on Kazakhstan is the most significant, followed by Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. The impact on Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan is weak. Combined with all kinds of factors, it is predicted that under the strategy of "Belt and Road", the difference in the impact of China's Belt and Road on the economic growth of the five Central Asian countries will be further expanded: Tajikistan has the greatest room for improvement, followed by Uzbekistan, and the other three countries have little impact. This provides China with specific investment advice: changing investment cooperation mode in investment environment assessment, investment cooperation object, investment field and cooperation mode.
【作者单位】：河海大学商学院;南京财经大学物流与营销学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(14BSH021) 国家自然科学基金(71172059)
【分类号】：F832.6;F136

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