东道国国家风险与我国对外承包工程——基于跨国面板数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-09-03 16:27

【摘要】：本文基于我国2004~2013年对81个国家的对外承包工程跨国面板数据,实证研究了东道国国家风险对我国对外承包工程的影响。研究发现,我国对外承包工程存在强烈、但并非真正意义上的国家风险偏好,而是基于东道国市场寻求型的国家风险偏好,即为开拓东道国的对外承包工程市场而不得不承担相应的国家风险。本文作者还进一步研究了市场寻求型的国家风险偏好在金融危机前后、高收入经济体与中低收入经济体以及投资协定签署国与非签署国之间的差异。本文的研究结论对于我国积极落实"走出去"战略以及"一带一路"倡议具有参考价值。
[Abstract]:Based on the cross-country panel data of 81 countries from 2004 to 2013, this paper empirically studies the influence of the risk of the host country on China's foreign contracting projects. It is found that there is a strong national risk preference in China, but not a real national risk preference, but based on the national risk preference of the host country market. That is, to open up the host country's external contracting project market and have to bear the corresponding national risks. The author also studies the differences between high-income economies and low- and middle-income economies and between the signatories of investment agreements and non-signatories before and after the financial crisis. The conclusion of this paper has reference value for our country to carry out "going out" strategy and "Belt and Road" initiative.
【作者单位】： 中国人民大学汉青经济与金融高级研究院;湖南大学经济与贸易学院;华中师范大学政治与国际关系学院;
【分类号】：F752.68
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本文编号：2220529