中国与“一带一路”国家的贸易效率与影响因素研究
发布时间：2018-09-07 20:43
【摘要】：基于各种引力模型的贸易潜力以及相应的贸易效率的估算方法存在诸多不足,如测算贸易潜力时考虑实际的各种贸易阻力因素(甚至包括贸易促进因素)"平均化"作用、模型复杂计算困难、国际比较性差等。在综合考虑贸易吸引力、贸易推力和贸易阻力的APR模型分析框架下,贸易吸引力决定经济体间的贸易潜力即理论贸易量,贸易推力和贸易阻力决定经济体间的实际贸易量,由此测算的贸易效率经济意义明确、计算简单、且具有更好的国际比较性。理论贸易量的推算发现,小规模经济体的对外贸易依存度比大规模经济体的更高,并更容易形成贸易效率大于1.0的"超贸易"。根据2015年数据计算的贸易效率表明:(1)一带一路国家对中国的出口效率平均为0.1326,只有它们对世界平
[Abstract]:The trade potential based on various gravity models and the corresponding estimation methods of trade efficiency have many shortcomings, such as taking into account the "average" effect of various actual trade resistance factors (even trade promotion factors) when calculating trade potential. The model is difficult to calculate and the international comparison is poor. Under the analytical framework of APR model considering trade attraction, trade thrust and trade resistance, trade attractiveness determines the potential of trade among economies, that is, theoretical trade volume, trade thrust and trade resistance determine the actual trade volume among economies. The economic significance of trade efficiency is clear, the calculation is simple, and it has better international comparison. The theoretical calculation of trade volume shows that the dependence on foreign trade of small economies is higher than that of large economies, and it is easier to form "super trade" with trade efficiency greater than 1.0. Trade efficiency calculated on the basis of 2015 data shows: (1) the average efficiency of Belt and Road's exports to China is 0.1326, and only they are equal to the world.
【作者单位】： 重庆邮电大学经济管理学院;重庆邮电大学教务处;
【基金】：重庆邮电大学社会科学基金重点项目(2016KZD11)
【分类号】：F752
，
本文编号：2229366
[Abstract]:The trade potential based on various gravity models and the corresponding estimation methods of trade efficiency have many shortcomings, such as taking into account the "average" effect of various actual trade resistance factors (even trade promotion factors) when calculating trade potential. The model is difficult to calculate and the international comparison is poor. Under the analytical framework of APR model considering trade attraction, trade thrust and trade resistance, trade attractiveness determines the potential of trade among economies, that is, theoretical trade volume, trade thrust and trade resistance determine the actual trade volume among economies. The economic significance of trade efficiency is clear, the calculation is simple, and it has better international comparison. The theoretical calculation of trade volume shows that the dependence on foreign trade of small economies is higher than that of large economies, and it is easier to form "super trade" with trade efficiency greater than 1.0. Trade efficiency calculated on the basis of 2015 data shows: (1) the average efficiency of Belt and Road's exports to China is 0.1326, and only they are equal to the world.
【作者单位】： 重庆邮电大学经济管理学院;重庆邮电大学教务处;
【基金】：重庆邮电大学社会科学基金重点项目(2016KZD11)
【分类号】：F752
，
本文编号：2229366
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