“一带一路”贸易网络与全球贸易网络的拓扑关系

发布时间：2018-09-08 18:14

【摘要】：共建"一带一路"倡议致力于建设开放型经济、确保自由包容性贸易。本文基于社区发现法、拓扑网络可视化等方法,对比分析"一带一路"贸易网络与全球贸易网络的拓扑关系,明确其贸易在全球的地位,以期为"一带一路"自由包容性贸易体系建设提供科学支撑。研究发现:(1)全球贸易网络可以识别出5个组团,其核心节点分别是中国、美国、德—荷—法—英等欧洲发达国家、俄罗斯、印度—阿联酋。(2)"一带一路"沿线可以识别出3个主组团及2个次组团,其中,亚欧大组团以中国为核心、俄罗斯为次核心,南亚—西亚组团以印度、阿联酋、沙特阿拉伯为核心。(3)在全球贸易网络中,大部分沿线国家仍被中国、俄罗斯、印度—阿联酋等核心节点所吸引,且与"一带一路"沿线的贸易联系较强;中东欧国家主要被德—荷—法—英等西欧国家核心节点所吸引,是"一带一路"低渗透国家;部分东南亚国家虽然被吸纳到以中国为核心的亚澳—南非组团,但与"一带一路"贸易联系还需加强。
[Abstract]:Belt and Road is committed to building an open economy and ensuring free and inclusive trade. Based on the methods of community discovery and topological network visualization, this paper compares and analyzes the topological relationship between "Belt and Road" trade network and global trade network, and clarifies its trade status in the world. In order to provide scientific support for Belt and Road's construction of free and inclusive trade system. The findings are as follows: (1) the global trade network can identify five clusters, the core nodes of which are China, the United States, Germany, France, Britain and other European developed countries, Russia. India-UAE. (2) three main groups and two sub-groups can be identified along the route of "Belt and Road." among them, China is the core, Russia is the second core, and India and the United Arab Emirates are the main groups in South Asia and West Asia. Saudi Arabia is the core. (3) in the global trade network, most of the countries along the route are still attracted by China, Russia, India-UAE and other core nodes, and have strong trade ties with "Belt and Road"; The countries of Central and Eastern Europe, which are mainly attracted by the core nodes of the West European countries such as Germany, Hol-France and Britain, are "Belt and Road" low-permeable countries. Although some Southeast Asian countries have been absorbed into a regiment between Asia, Australia and South Africa with China as the core, But trade ties with Belt and Road need to be strengthened.
【作者单位】：中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所;中国科学院大学资源与环境学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41530751) 国家社会科学基金项目(17VDL008,2015MZD039)~~
【分类号】：F746

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