“一带一路”沿线国家货物贸易的竞争互补关系及动态变化——基于网络分析方法
发布时间：2018-11-09 18:44
【摘要】：本文运用网络分析方法(Network Analysis)研究了2005年以来"一带一路"沿线国家货物贸易的竞争互补关系及动态变化。研究表明:(1)近10年,"一带一路"沿线国家贸易关系日趋增强,贸易网络密度增加,贸易集中化趋势明显,贸易竞争加剧,但贸易互补大于贸易竞争。(2)"一带一路"沿线国家有两个重要贸易板块,一是由俄罗斯、中东欧等国家组成的内部型板块;另一个是由中国、印度等亚洲国家组成的内部与外部贸易关系都比较密切的兼顾型板块。(3)还有一个主要由中国和中东欧国家组成的贸易互补板块,这一板块是中国最重要的贸易伙伴。(4)"一带一路"沿线国家呈现"三足鼎立"的贸易竞争局面:第一竞争群体是以俄罗斯为首的石油资源国家;第二群体以印度、新加坡为首;第三群体以中国为首,由部分中东欧国家和独联体国家组成。基于此,本文提出了相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:This paper studies the competition complementarity and dynamic changes of goods trade between "Belt and Road" and "Belt and Road" countries since 2005 by using network analysis method (Network Analysis). The results are as follows: (1) in the past 10 years, the trade relations of the countries along the route of "Belt and Road" have been increasingly strengthened, the density of trade networks has increased, the trend of trade concentration has been obvious, and trade competition has intensified. However, trade complementation is greater than trade competition. (2) there are two important trade sectors in the countries along "Belt and Road", one is the internal plate composed of Russia, Central and Eastern Europe and other countries; The other is an internal and external trade sector composed of China, India, and other Asian countries. (3) there is also a complementary trade sector composed mainly of China and Central and Eastern European countries. This sector is China's most important trading partner. (4) the countries along "Belt and Road" present a "three-pedal" situation of trade competition: the first competition group is the oil resource country led by Russia; The second group, led by India and Singapore, and the third group, led by China, are composed of some central and eastern European countries and CIS countries. Based on this, this paper puts forward the relevant policy recommendations.
【作者单位】： 重庆工商大学;重庆大学;云南财经大学;重庆市人民政府发展研究中心;重庆社会科学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目(项目批准号:13AJY006) 国家自然科学基金项目(项目批准号:71063022、71133004) 重庆市哲学社会科学重大项目《“一带一路”沿线国家贸易竞争与互补关系研究》(项目批准号:2015ZD10)的资助 全国文化名家暨“四个一批”人才项目 云南省“百人计划” 重庆市哲学社会科学领军人才特殊支持计划 重庆工商大学教育部人文社科重点研究基地长江上游经济研究中心 重庆“一带一路”投资与贸易研究中心的支持
【分类号】：F746
本文编号：2321255
[Abstract]:This paper studies the competition complementarity and dynamic changes of goods trade between "Belt and Road" and "Belt and Road" countries since 2005 by using network analysis method (Network Analysis). The results are as follows: (1) in the past 10 years, the trade relations of the countries along the route of "Belt and Road" have been increasingly strengthened, the density of trade networks has increased, the trend of trade concentration has been obvious, and trade competition has intensified. However, trade complementation is greater than trade competition. (2) there are two important trade sectors in the countries along "Belt and Road", one is the internal plate composed of Russia, Central and Eastern Europe and other countries; The other is an internal and external trade sector composed of China, India, and other Asian countries. (3) there is also a complementary trade sector composed mainly of China and Central and Eastern European countries. This sector is China's most important trading partner. (4) the countries along "Belt and Road" present a "three-pedal" situation of trade competition: the first competition group is the oil resource country led by Russia; The second group, led by India and Singapore, and the third group, led by China, are composed of some central and eastern European countries and CIS countries. Based on this, this paper puts forward the relevant policy recommendations.
【作者单位】： 重庆工商大学;重庆大学;云南财经大学;重庆市人民政府发展研究中心;重庆社会科学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目(项目批准号:13AJY006) 国家自然科学基金项目(项目批准号:71063022、71133004) 重庆市哲学社会科学重大项目《“一带一路”沿线国家贸易竞争与互补关系研究》(项目批准号:2015ZD10)的资助 全国文化名家暨“四个一批”人才项目 云南省“百人计划” 重庆市哲学社会科学领军人才特殊支持计划 重庆工商大学教育部人文社科重点研究基地长江上游经济研究中心 重庆“一带一路”投资与贸易研究中心的支持
【分类号】：F746
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，本文编号：2321255
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