中国与中亚区域贸易合作治理研究——兼论“一带一路”倡议下共建自贸区的可行性

发布时间：2018-11-15 08:27

【摘要】："一带一路"共建的核心是经济,经济合作贸易先行。文章立足竞争与互补性的贸易治理分析框架,建立基于UNCOMTRADE数据库的出口相似度、贸易结合度、G-L、B-L和RCA指数模型,深入剖析中国与中亚区域贸易合作状况。研究发现,中国与中亚出口在欧美市场互补性日渐增强,在俄罗斯则有竞争性加强趋向;两地贸易结合度正越发紧密,相互逐步成为对方越发重要的贸易对象,呈现出强互补的产业间贸易特征;中国优势产品以制成品和机械运输设备类目为主,中亚则是矿物燃料和非食用原料,两地强势产品种类未有重叠,贸易潜力较强,合作空间广阔。"一带一路"倡议的提出,为中国与中亚加强经贸合作开辟了新的天地,区域具备了建立自由贸易区的有利条件,未来贸易合作有望不断升级。
[Abstract]:The core of "Belt and Road" is the economy, economic cooperation and trade first. Based on the trade governance analysis framework of competition and complementarity, this paper establishes the export similarity, trade combination, G-LB- L and RCA index model based on UNCOMTRADE database to analyze the regional trade cooperation between China and Central Asia. It is found that the export of China and Central Asia is becoming more and more complementary in European and American markets, while in Russia there is a competitive trend. The degree of trade integration between the two places is becoming more and more close, each gradually becoming the other side more and more important trade object, showing a strong complementary characteristics of inter-industry trade; China's dominant products are manufactured products and mechanical transport equipment, while in Central Asia they are fossil fuels and non-edible raw materials. There is no overlap in the strong product categories between the two places, with strong trade potential and broad scope for cooperation. " Belt and Road's proposal has opened up a new world for China and Central Asia to strengthen economic and trade cooperation, the region has the favorable conditions to establish a free trade zone, and the future trade cooperation is expected to continue to upgrade.
【作者单位】：广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71603060) 教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(16YJC790023) 广东省软科学研究计划项目(2016A070706006) 广东省普通高校优秀青年创新人才培养计划项目(2015WQNCX029) 广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(GD15YY301) 广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划课题(0216GZYB04)
【分类号】：F752.7

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