交通财政支出规模对我国交通产业经济产出绩效的影响

发布时间：2018-02-14 18:40

本文关键词： 财政支出规模经济产出规模经济产出效率门槛效应　出处：《哈尔滨工业大学》2017年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：交通产业作为国民经济发展中的基础性服务部门,为区域经济创造良好的发展环境,为整个经济系统可持续发展提供重要的保障。财政支出是交通产业得以发展的最主要资金来源。本文以区域为视角,进行交通财政支出规模对交通产业经济产出绩效作用机制和动态影响的理论分析与经验研究,主要从以下几个方面进行研究。本文通过对交通产业财政支出规模、交通产业经济产出绩效、交通产业经济产出规模、交通产业经济产出效率概念的界定,明确了本文主要研究对象。构建了财政支出对交通产业经济产出绩效动态影响的分析框架。从整体效应与过程效应两个角度,研究交通财政支出对交通产业经济产出规模、财政支出对交通产业经济产出效率的影响机制以及交通财政支出对交通产业经济产出的门槛效应进行分析。为后续运用经验数据展开实证研究提供理论依据和必要的研究基础。在本文第二章理论研究的基础上,从整体结果的角度以交通产业经济产出规模为视角,验证了交通产业财政支出规模对交通产业经济产出绩效的动态影响效应。通过构建面板修正误差模型验证交通财政支出规模对交通产业经济产出规模的长短期波动影响。构建面板VAR模型和利用面板脉冲响应函数,从区域视角深入剖析了财政支出和非财政支出对交通产业经济产出规模的动态冲击影响及变化过程。在本文第二章理论研究的基础上,从过程结果的角度以交通产业经济产出效率为视角,验证了交通产业财政支出对交通产业经济产出绩效的动态影响效应。首先分析财政支出对交通产业经济产出效率的直接和间接影响,然后构建交通产业经济产出效率的评价体系,利用DEA、超效率DEA和Malmquist生产效率指数对我国交通产业经济产出效率进行评价;最后构建财政支出和非财政支出对交通产业经济产出效率的动态影响效应模型,对全国范围、东中西部地区财政支出和非财政支出对交通产业经济产出效率动态冲击分别进行了经验测量与检验。为深入挖掘财政支出对交通产业经济产出绩效影响的内在规律,从验证其内部是否存在结构上的突变为视角研究财政支出对交通产业经济产出绩效的结构性动态影响效应。通过构建财政支出对交通产业经济产出规模和财政支出对交通产业经济产出效率的双门槛效应模型,以地区经济增长水平、交通产业财政支出和交通产业非财政支出作为门槛变量,研究交通产业财政支出对交通产业经济产出绩效的门槛效应。首先验证是否存在门槛变量,然后对门槛值进行估算,最后对双门槛模型进行估计。本文突破传统研究视角,从整体效应到过程效应,再到内在结构变化的规律,层层深入地研究了财政支出对交通产业经济产出绩效的影响,丰富了交通产业财政政策影响效应理论,为政府决策者和交通产业主管部门进行决策提供参考与借鉴,对促进交通产业快速发展具有重要的理论与现实意义。
[Abstract]:Transportation industry as a national economic development based on the service sector, to create a favorable environment for the development of regional economy, provide an important guarantee for the sustainable development of the whole economic system. The fiscal expenditure is the main source of funds to the development of the transportation industry. This paper takes the region as the angle of view, theoretical analysis and Empirical Study on the impact of fiscal expenditure scale traffic the transportation industry economic output performance and dynamic mechanism, mainly from the following aspects. Based on the scale of fiscal expenditure of transportation industry, economic output performance of the transport industry, transportation industry economic output scale, the definition of transportation industry economic output efficiency concept, clear the research object in this paper. The impact of building a financial analysis framework spending on dynamic traffic industry economic output performance. From the overall effect of the two angles and the process effect, the financial support of traffic The economic output scale of transportation industry, analyze the influence mechanism of threshold effect of fiscal expenditure on the output efficiency of the traffic industry and traffic transportation industry of fiscal expenditure on economic output. To provide theoretical basis and necessary basis for the follow-up study uses empirical data to carry out empirical research. Based on the theory of the second chapter, from the overall results the point to economic output scale of transportation industry from the perspective of validated dynamic effects of fiscal expenditure on economic output performance of traffic transportation industry industry. Through traffic impact the scale of fiscal expenditure to build the panel error correction model to verify the short-term fluctuations in economic output scale transportation industry. The construction and use of panel panel VAR model impulse response function. From the regional perspective in-depth analysis of dynamic fiscal expenditure and non fiscal expenditure on economic output scale of transportation industry The impact and change process. Based on the theory of the second chapter, from the result of angle to the output efficiency of transportation industry economic perspective, to verify the effect of traffic industry expenditure dynamic effects on economic output performance of the transport industry. Firstly, the direct and indirect effects of fiscal expenditure on the output efficiency of the traffic industry, and construction output efficiency of transportation industry economic evaluation system, using DEA, super efficiency DEA and Malmquist productivity index to evaluate the efficiency of economic output of China's transportation industry; the construction of financial expenditure and fiscal expenditure model of dynamic effects on output efficiency of transportation industry economy, the national fiscal expenditure, the Eastern and western regions and non finance spending on transportation industry economic output efficiency of dynamic impact are experience of inspection and measurement for further mining of fiscal expenditure on. The influences of economic output performance of the transport industry, to verify the existence of internal mutation from structure of the structural dynamic impact effect of fiscal expenditure on economic output from the perspective of performance of the transport industry. Through the construction of fiscal expenditure model of double threshold effect of traffic industry economic output scale and fiscal expenditure on the output efficiency of the traffic industry, by region the level of economic growth, transportation industry and transportation industry non fiscal expenditure fiscal expenditure as the threshold variable threshold effect of traffic industry fiscal expenditure on economic output performance of the transport industry. First, verify the existence of the threshold variable, then the threshold value was estimated at the end of the double threshold model estimation. This paper breaks through the traditional research perspective, from the overall effect to the effect, to the internal structure changes, the layers of in-depth study of the fiscal expenditure on traffic The influence of the performance of industrial economic output enriches the theory of the impact effect of transportation industry fiscal policy, and provides reference for government decision-makers and transportation industry departments to make decisions. It has important theoretical and practical significance for promoting the rapid development of the transportation industry.

【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F812.45;F512

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