权力和平转移的发展路径：一种比较研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 00:07

  本文关键词：权力和平转移的发展路径：一种比较研究　出处：《华中师范大学》2016年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

  更多相关文章： 权力转移 权力转移理论 权力和平转移 德国 英国 美国 中国 中美关系 俄狄浦斯效应

【摘要】：当今世界正处于复杂的过渡之中,其中,美国世界霸权地位日渐式微,而新兴力量中国成功崛起。在国际关系中,这通常被称为权力转移,对于解决冲突和全球战争问题的具有积极作用。虽然,中国明确声明无意称霸世界,并将继续谋求和平发展道路,然而中国惊人的发展速度与迅速崛起之势令美国产生威胁感。这一问题倘若未能得到正确处理,将导致严重的全球性后果。由于目前世界尚处于权力过渡的早期阶段,避免悲剧的发生为时不晚,因此,为规避全球性的争霸战争,探寻权力实现和平转移的方法尤为重要。本文旨在通过比较研究法分析权力转移,以探索更加清晰的权力和平转移方式,弥补国际关系学研究的不足(英国学者卡尔称之为“国际关系的核心困境”,即“和平转移难题”)。为实现此目的,本文将重点研究自19世纪末以来,尤其是1866年至1945年间,英国与美国之间的权力转移,分析潜在的可能性原因与转移过程。历史上,两个国家首次和平式的权力转移,即衰落的霸主(英国)与崛起的大国(美国)之间并未发生战争,这种独特的历史事件极具分析研究价值。1891年至1914年间,英国与德国之间战争式的权力转移,遭遇失败并于第一次世界大战时终止,这种战争式权力转移将作为一个对比,与美国和英国之间的权力和平转移进行比较分析。本研究将运用过程追踪、假设检验以及穆尔的两者间差别分析等比较分析工具,探索影响美国和英国之间的权力和平转移与英国和德国之间的战争式权力转移的主要因素。权力转移的概念可能会使美国感受到中国的威胁,但本研究仍将在假设这种转移是现实存在的条件下进行分析。换言之,从经济、政治、军事、社会和软实力的方面出发,假设中国比美国发展得更好。继而,通过上文所论及的两种历史转移作为指导,研究中国与美国之间的关系嬗变,从而提出防止美国与中国陷入霸权争战的策略,同时探讨实现权力和平转移的可能性。
[Abstract]:Today the world is in a complex transition, in which the United States world hegemony is declining, while the new power China has successfully emerged. In international relations, this is usually called power transfer. Although China has clearly stated that it has no intention of dominating the world and will continue to pursue the path of peaceful development. Yet China's phenomenal pace of development and its rapid rise have created a sense of threat to the United States, if not properly addressed. As the world is still in the early stages of the transition of power, it is not too late to avoid tragedies and, therefore, to avoid a global war for hegemony. It is very important to explore the method of realizing the peaceful transfer of power. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the transfer of power through comparative research in order to explore a clearer way of peaceful transfer of power. To make up for the deficiency in the study of international relations (which the British scholar Karl called "the core dilemma of international relations", that is, "the difficult problem of peaceful transfer"). In order to achieve this goal, this paper will focus on the study since the end of 19th century. Especially between 1866 and 1945, the transfer of power between Britain and the United States, the analysis of the potential causes and transfer process. In history, the two countries peaceful transfer of power for the first time. There is no war between the declining hegemon (UK) and the rising power (USA). This unique historical event is of great analytical value. From 1891 to 1914. The warlike transfer of power between Britain and Germany, which failed and ended in the first World War, will be a contrast. A comparative analysis of the peaceful transfer of power between the United States and the United Kingdom is carried out. This study uses process tracking, hypothesis testing and Moore's analysis of the differences between the two. Explore the main factors affecting the peaceful transfer of power between the United States and Britain and the warlike transfer of power between Britain and Germany. The concept of power transfer may make the United States feel the threat of China. In other words, from the economic, political, military, social and soft power aspects, we assume that China has developed better than the United States. Under the guidance of the two historical transfers discussed above, this paper studies the evolution of the relationship between China and the United States, and puts forward some strategies to prevent the United States and China from falling into a hegemonic war. At the same time, explore the possibility of realizing the peaceful transfer of power.
【学位授予单位】：华中师范大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：D81
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本文编号：1425895