决策者—精英—民众视角下的俄罗斯国际观研究（2000-2016）

发布时间：2018-04-02 02:33

  本文选题：俄罗斯外交　切入点：决策者　出处：《外交学院》2017年博士论文

【摘要】：自本世纪初普京成为俄罗斯主要决策者以来,俄罗斯的国际观发生了重要变化,这种变化将对俄外交决策、对外政策,尤其是对西方政策造成深刻影响。本文以俄罗斯国际观为研究对象,以“决策者-精英-民众”视角为分析主线,通过分析俄罗斯对外政策指导性文件、精英阶层、民众对世界形势、国际关系和国际事务的基本态度和理念的变化,探索性地研究了内外局势变化背景下俄罗斯国际观的变化与转型。导论部分主要是提出研究问题。首先明确提出了本文是一项针对普京时代俄罗斯国际观的研究,继而对国内外学术界在国际观与俄罗斯外交方面的中文、俄文、英文的研究成果进行了全面的综述,在把握学界研究的基础上确立了本文的研究设想,并提出了可能存在的难点和创新点。第一章对本文涉及的国际观概念进行了学术意义上的界定,提出了决策者-精英-民众的理论分析框架。第二、三、四章对俄罗斯国际观进行从决策者到精英、民众层面的全面梳理及作用分析,厘清这一时段国际观变化呈现的特点:总体来看,虽有短暂缓和期,但俄罗斯对外部威胁的感知在加深,国家强调发展军事力量,精英更倾向认为军事实力是实现国家利益的手段;精英与民众反美主义高涨,民族主义在俄罗斯社会上升,对大国地位的向往与追求被再次激发。导致俄罗斯国际观新变化既有周边环境和国际局势恶化的外部因素,又有俄罗斯经济困局、媒体宣传、国民性格的自身因素。第五章评估了俄罗斯国际观变化对其外交理念、行为方式、对外政策造成的主要影响。结论部分总结回顾了本文的研究内容并提出了未来的研究方向。通过本文的研究可以发现,当代俄罗斯决策者,精英,民众的国际观变化特点具有共性和一致性,而俄罗斯国际观的变化与其外交决策具有紧密地关联性。因此,研究俄罗斯国际观,探索和发现俄罗斯对外政策制定的逻辑性,可为理解俄罗斯对外行为提供背景知识和依据;同时,为中国处理和应对中俄关系提供启发,有利于中俄两国在双方关系发展中获益。
[Abstract]:Since Putin became the main policy maker in Russia at the beginning of this century, Russia's international outlook has undergone important changes, which will have a profound impact on Russia's foreign policy and foreign policy, especially on western policy.This article takes the Russian international view as the research object, takes the perspective of "decision-maker, elitist and populace" as the main line of analysis, through the analysis Russia foreign policy guidance document, the elite class, the populace to the world situation,The change of basic attitude and concept of international relations and international affairs is an exploratory study of the change and transformation of Russia's international outlook under the background of the change of internal and external situation.The introduction part mainly puts forward the research question.First of all, this paper is a research on the Russian international outlook in Putin's time, and then a comprehensive review of the Chinese, Russian and English research results on the international outlook and Russian diplomacy at home and abroad.On the basis of grasping the academic research, this paper establishes the research assumption, and puts forward the possible difficulties and innovations.The first chapter defines the concept of international view in academic sense, and puts forward the theoretical analysis framework of decision-maker, elitist and populace.The second, third, and fourth chapters make a comprehensive analysis of Russia's international outlook, from the decision makers to the elite and the populace, to clarify the characteristics of the changes in the international outlook during this period: generally speaking, although there is a brief period of detente,However, Russia's perception of external threats is deepening, the state emphasizes the development of military power, and the elite tend to regard military power as a means of achieving national interests; the elites and the public are on the rise of anti-Americanism, and nationalism is rising in Russian society.The yearning for and pursuit of the status of a great power has been aroused again.The new changes of Russia's international outlook include the external factors of the deterioration of the surrounding environment and the international situation, the Russian economic difficulties, the media propaganda, and the own factors of the national character.Chapter five assesses the influence of the change of Russia's international outlook on its foreign policy.The conclusion part summarizes and reviews the research content of this paper and puts forward the future research direction.Through the research of this paper, we can find that the characteristics of the change of the international outlook of the contemporary Russian decision-makers, elites and people have commonness and consistency, while the changes of the Russian international outlook are closely related to their diplomatic decisions.Therefore, studying Russia's international outlook and exploring and discovering the logic of Russia's foreign policy formulation can provide background knowledge and basis for understanding Russia's foreign behavior, and at the same time, provide inspiration for China to handle and deal with Sino-Russian relations.It is beneficial to China and Russia to benefit from the development of bilateral relations.
【学位授予单位】：外交学院
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D851.2
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本文编号：1698423