甘肃省2013年猩红热发病的空间聚集性分析

发布时间：2018-03-05 15:42

本文选题：猩红热　切入点：地理信息系统　出处：《中华疾病控制杂志》2015年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的运用空间统计学的方法描述并探讨2013年甘肃省猩红热发病的空间分布特征。方法利用"全国传染病疫情信息网络直报系统"导出2013年甘肃省各区(县)猩红热发病数据、相应区(县)人口数等数据,运用空间统计软件分析甘肃省猩红热发病的空间相关性、空间聚集性特征。结果 2013年甘肃省猩红热报告发病率存在空间自相关性(Z(I)=5.222,P=0.001);局部空间自相关分析发现区域内存在高-高关联模式的县(区)为安宁区(P=0.050)、肃北县(P=0.030)、安西县(P=0.010)和敦煌市(P=0.010)、低-低等关联模式的县(区)为武山县(P=0.040)、通渭县(P=0.010)、陇西县(P=0.020)、渭源县(P=0.030)、岷县(P=0.040)、武都区(P=0.040)、西峰区(P=0.020)、庆城县(P=0.010)和宁县(P=0.050);规则空间扫描结果显示猩红热发病最大可能聚集区为酒泉市的部分县区(RR=12.17,P=0.001)。结论 2013年甘肃省猩红热报告发病率呈非随机分布,酒泉市、嘉峪关市、金昌市、兰州市、白银市和临夏州为甘肃省猩红热发病聚集区域,是猩红热的重点防控地区。
[Abstract]:Objective to describe and explore the spatial distribution of scarlet fever in Gansu Province in 2013 by using the method of spatial statistics. Methods the data of scarlet fever incidence in various districts (counties) of Gansu Province on 2013 were derived from the National Infectious Disease Information Network Direct reporting system. The spatial correlation of scarlet fever incidence in Gansu Province was analyzed by using spatial statistical software based on the population data of corresponding districts (counties). Results in 2013, the incidence rate of scarlet fever in Gansu Province was reported to have a spatial autocorrelation of 5.222 P0. 001, and the local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the county (region) with high-high correlation pattern was Anning P0. 050, Subei county P0. 030. In Anxi County (P0. 010) and Dunhuang City (P0. 010), the low to low correlation model counties (districts) are Wushan County (0. 040), Tongwei County (P0. 010), Longxi County (P0. 020), Weiyuan County (P0. 030), Minxian P0. 040, Wudu District (P0.040), Xinfeng Peng (0. 020 0) and Ningxian County (P0. 050). The most likely area for fever incidence was in some counties of Jiuquan City. Conclusion in 2013, the reported incidence of scarlet fever in Gansu Province showed a non-random distribution. Jiuquan City, Jiayuguan City, Jinchang City, Lanzhou City, Baiyin City and Linxia Prefecture are the focus areas of scarlet fever in Gansu Province.
【作者单位】：甘肃省疾病预防控制中心急性传染病防治科;兰州大学公共卫生学院流行病和统计研究所;
【基金】：“十二五”国家科技重大专项(2012ZX10004-208) 甘肃省卫生行业科研计划项目(GSWST2012-06)
【分类号】：R515.1

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