我国肉牛生产与农业机械化释放效应分析

发布时间：2018-03-28 23:33

本文选题：肉牛生产　切入点：阶段划分　出处：《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2016年06期

【摘要】：我国养牛业长期受到农业生产的束缚,改革开放之后,政府放开养牛业,产业得到快速发展。新中国成立以来,我国肉牛产业可划分为三个时期,即"原始肉牛业时期"、"传统肉牛业时期"和"现代肉牛业时期",养牛业历经"役用"、"兼用"乃至"肉用"的历史进程。基于农业机械化对肉牛产业发展的释放作用,借助面板VAR模型分析了农业机械化对肉牛生产的影响。研究结果表明:农业机械化对我国肉牛生产的推动作用非常明显;"传统肉牛业时期"及过渡时期肉牛生产受农业机械化的影响比"现代肉牛业时期"更大;非粮食主产区受影响比粮食主产区稍大,但持续时间相对较短。
[Abstract]:China's cattle industry has long been constrained by agricultural production. After the reform and opening up, the government opened up the cattle industry and the industry developed rapidly. Since the founding of New China, China's beef industry can be divided into three periods. That is, "primitive beef industry period", "traditional beef cattle industry period" and "modern beef cattle industry period". The cattle industry has gone through the historical process of "service", "both use" and even "meat use". Based on the release effect of agricultural mechanization on the development of beef industry, The effect of agricultural mechanization on beef cattle production is analyzed by using panel VAR model. The results show that agricultural mechanization can promote beef production in China obviously. The influence of agricultural mechanization is greater than that of "modern beef cattle industry"; The non-grain-producing areas were affected a little more than the grain-producing areas, but the duration was relatively short.
【作者单位】：中国农业大学经济管理学院;中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“我国肉牛产业发展规律及财政扶持政策研究”(71173220) 现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资金(CARS-35-22) 中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(ASTIP-IAED-2015-01) 中国农业大学博士后基金项目“财政补贴政策扶持肉牛生产效果评价”(2014M550893)
【分类号】：F326.3;F323.3

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