环境制度改革对经济增长的影响及政策建议

发布时间：2018-02-20 23:14

本文关键词： 环境制度改革经济增长增长核算　出处：《经济与管理研究》2017年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文通过构建纳入环境要素的增长核算框架,测度过去30多年环境对经济增长的影响。结果表明,在1979—2013年GDP年均9.8%的增长中,环境拉动了0.58个百分点,但目前已进入以2009年前后为拐点的增长效应递减阶段。对"十三五"时期的情景预测表明,相对于不落实十八届三中全会关于环境制度改革部署而只延续制度惯性的基准情景,完全落实和部分落实改革部署将分别每年拉低经济潜在增长速度0.5个和0.25个百分点,环境因素对经济增速形成较为明显的约束。为贯彻绿色发展理念,保障经济长期持续稳定增长,应加快健全环境税收和价格体系,完善环境资源产权制度,配套推进相关法律法规修订并强化环境监管能力建设。
[Abstract]:This paper measures the impact of environment on economic growth in the past 30 years by constructing a growth accounting framework that includes environmental factors. The results show that the average annual growth of GDP in 1979-2013 is 0.58 percentage points. However, at present, it has entered the stage of diminishing growth effect with the inflection point around 2009. The scenario forecast for the 13th Five-Year Plan period shows that, compared with the benchmark scenario of not implementing the plan of the third Plenary session of the 18 Central Committee on environmental system reform and deployment, and only continuing the institutional inertia, The full implementation and partial implementation of the reform plan will lower the potential growth rate of the economy by 0.5 and 0.25 percentage points per year respectively, and environmental factors will obviously constrain the economic growth rate. In order to ensure the sustained and stable economic growth, we should speed up and perfect the environmental taxation and price system, perfect the property right system of environmental resources, promote the revision of relevant laws and regulations and strengthen the construction of environmental supervision capacity.
【作者单位】：国家发展和改革委员会经济研究所;
【基金】：国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院2015年度重点课题“重点领域改革的增长红利研究”(A2015011001)
【分类号】：F124;X22

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