政府支出消息冲击与中国劳动就业:动态随机一般均衡的视角
发布时间：2018-09-18 18:32
【摘要】：在多部门NK-DSGE模型中,详细区分并比较了与政府消费性支出、政府生产性支出有关的消息冲击和"惊喜"冲击对于我国劳动力市场的影响。研究发现:(1)消息冲击对于不同部门就业具有不同的冲击效应;(2)与政府支出有关的消息冲击对于我国劳动力市场以及宏观经济的冲击效应大于"惊喜"冲击;(3)与政府生产性支出有关的消息冲击和"惊喜"冲击的动态效应大于与政府消费性支出有关的消息冲击和"惊喜"冲击。因此,引导民众形成正确的预期,依据我国的现实情况建立适当的政府支出规则并依据政府支出规则行事,将有利于发挥与政府支出有关的消息冲击的积极作用,进而通过政府支出调整形成的消息冲击,实现劳动力市场的稳定。
[Abstract]:In the multi-sector NK-DSGE model, the impact of news shock and surprise shock on the labor market of China is distinguished and compared in detail. The results show that: (1) the impact of news shock on employment in different sectors is different; (2) the impact of news shock related to government expenditure on China's labor market and macro economy is greater than that of "surprise" impact; (3) the impact of information shock on employment in different sectors is greater than that of "surprise" impact on China's labor market and macro economy; The dynamic effect of the news shock and surprise shock related to government productive expenditure is greater than the news shock and surprise shock related to government consumption expenditure. Therefore, guiding people to form correct expectations, establishing appropriate government expenditure rules according to the reality of our country and acting according to government expenditure rules will be conducive to giving play to the positive role of news shocks related to government expenditure. Then through the government expenditure adjustment formation news shock, realizes the labor market stability.
【作者单位】： 中共广东省委党校经济学教研部;中国社会科学院经济研究所;广东财经大学国民经济研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“提高发展平衡性、包容性、可持续性的动力机制研究”(15ZDC02)
【分类号】：F249.2;F812.45
本文编号：2248757
[Abstract]:In the multi-sector NK-DSGE model, the impact of news shock and surprise shock on the labor market of China is distinguished and compared in detail. The results show that: (1) the impact of news shock on employment in different sectors is different; (2) the impact of news shock related to government expenditure on China's labor market and macro economy is greater than that of "surprise" impact; (3) the impact of information shock on employment in different sectors is greater than that of "surprise" impact on China's labor market and macro economy; The dynamic effect of the news shock and surprise shock related to government productive expenditure is greater than the news shock and surprise shock related to government consumption expenditure. Therefore, guiding people to form correct expectations, establishing appropriate government expenditure rules according to the reality of our country and acting according to government expenditure rules will be conducive to giving play to the positive role of news shocks related to government expenditure. Then through the government expenditure adjustment formation news shock, realizes the labor market stability.
【作者单位】： 中共广东省委党校经济学教研部;中国社会科学院经济研究所;广东财经大学国民经济研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“提高发展平衡性、包容性、可持续性的动力机制研究”(15ZDC02)
【分类号】：F249.2;F812.45
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