基于专利交叉影响法的NBI会聚趋势研究

发布时间：2018-01-19 05:31

本文关键词： 会聚技术 NBI 会聚趋势交叉影响法专利　出处：《北京工业大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：现代科技的发展使得信息、生物、材料、能源等组成的技术群落及各技术群落之间相互联系、渗透不断加强,并出现了纳米技术、生物技术、信息技术的交叉会聚。如果能及早发现这些技术领域间目前的会聚状态及其会聚趋势，将会对我国确定会聚技术方面的优先研发领域，，制定会聚技术发展战略，产生重大意义。虽然目前国内针对会聚技术领域内某些具体技术间的会聚取得的进展已有粗略总结，但全面定量化分析纳米、生物、信息技术(N B I)三大技术间会聚状态的研究尚不多见，因此NBI各技术间的会聚深度如何，会聚广度如何，如何确定会聚趋势及关键技术是我们当前急需解决的问题。针对上述问题本文应用基于专利的交叉影响法来分析纳米技术、生物技术、信息技术(NBI)三大技术领域间的会聚趋势。首先，选取纳米、生物、信息各个技术领域的热点技术作为研究对象；其次，分析2000年-2011年间NBI各热点技术所包含的专利数目及任意两技术所共同包含的专利数目，得出任意两技术间的交叉影响值并与影响关系阈值进行比较进而分析各技术间的影响关系；第三，分析技术间的交叉影响与会聚的关系，设定会聚度阈值，从而根据交叉影响值分析得出发生会聚关系的各技术对；第四，计算存在会聚关系的各技术对历年的交叉影响值并据此分析其会聚深度，得出会聚深度不断加深的技术对；第五，分析会聚深度不断加强的技术对所包含的所有技术间形成的会聚关系网络及其动态变化，得出会聚广度较为稳定及不断扩大的关键技术及其变化；第六，在上述研究的基础上，针对各技术间会聚深度及会聚广度的变化趋势，为管理层制定会聚技术发展战略提出了加强会聚技术领域内核心技术研发、加强前沿技术研发以及促进会聚技术产业化的对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the development of modern science and technology, the information, biology, materials, energy and other technology communities are connected with each other, and the permeation is constantly strengthened, and nanotechnology and biotechnology appear. If we can find the current convergence status and convergence trend among these technical fields early, we will determine the priority research and development field of convergence technology in our country, and formulate the strategy of convergence technology development. Although the progress of convergence between some specific technologies in the field of convergence technology has been roughly summarized, but the overall quantitative analysis of nanoscale, biological. There are few studies on the convergence status of the three major technologies in information technology (NBI), so the convergence depth and the convergence breadth of the three technologies in NBI are different. How to determine convergence trend and key technology is an urgent problem we need to solve. To solve the above problems, this paper applies the patent-based cross-impact method to analyze the convergence trend among nanotechnology, biotechnology, information technology and NBI. First, select nano, biological. The hot spot technology in each field of information technology is regarded as the research object; Secondly, it analyzes the number of patents and the number of patents that any two technologies contain from 2000 to 2011. The cross-influence value between any two technologies is obtained and compared with the threshold of influence relation, and the influence relationship between each technology is analyzed. Thirdly, the relationship between the cross effect and convergence is analyzed, and the threshold of convergence degree is set, and according to the analysis of cross influence value, the technical pairs of convergence relation are obtained. In 4th, the cross influence value of each technology with convergence relation on the past years is calculated, and the convergence depth is analyzed accordingly, and the technical pair with the deepening convergence depth is obtained. In 5th, the paper analyzes the convergence relation network and its dynamic change formed between all the technologies contained by the increasing technology of convergence depth, and obtains the key technology and its change that the convergence breadth is more stable and expanding; 6th, on the basis of the above research, aiming at the change trend of convergence depth and convergence breadth among different technologies, this paper proposes to strengthen the core technology research and development in the field of convergence technology for the management to formulate convergence technology development strategy. Strengthen the frontier technology research and development and promote convergence technology industrialization countermeasures and suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：北京工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：G306

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