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厂网协调规划模式下低碳电力系统的效益评估方法研究

发布时间:2018-11-01 13:59
【摘要】:低碳背景下,电力行业作为最大的碳排放源,必须肩负起节能减排主力军的重任,所以,构建低碳电力系统是电力行业的必然选择。由于“碳锁定效应”的存在,要构建低碳电力系统,其首要前提是要实现电力系统的科学合理规划。传统的电源与电网分立规划模式已不适应电力系统发展趋势,更具低碳特性的厂网协调规划模式将逐渐取代原有规划模式。电力规划模式、低碳技术以及碳排放政策等是构建低碳电力系统的内外部驱动因素,但对低碳电力系统潜在的效益进行系统评估将能极大地推动低碳电力系统的建设与发展。 本文采用系统动力学方法对厂网协调规划模式下低碳电力系统的效益实施评估。首先研究了厂网协调规划模式与低碳电力系统的构建。着重分析了低碳要素的引入对电力规划的影响,并对厂网协调规划模式进行了界定,从发电侧、电网侧和用电侧3个角度阐述了构建低碳电力系统的途径;其次,基于低碳电力系统效益的分解构建了效益评估指标体系,比较了不同效益评估方法的优劣,并基于系统动力学方法,给出了低碳电力系统效益评估的总体因果循环图;第三,从发电侧、电网侧和用电侧3个环节构建了低碳电力系统效益评估模型;最后,以福建省为对象,测算了2011-2020年福建省建设低碳电力系统获得的经济效益、碳减排效益和社会效益。 研究结果表明,厂网协调规划模式下的低碳电力系统具有显著的综合效益。这有利于人们充分认识到低碳电力系统各方面潜在的效益,提高相关投资方对低碳电力系统的投资力度,从而加快低碳电力系统的建设步伐。
[Abstract]:Under the low carbon background, the electric power industry, as the largest carbon emission source, must shoulder the main task of energy saving and emission reduction. Therefore, the construction of low-carbon power system is the inevitable choice of the power industry. Because of the "carbon locking effect", the most important prerequisite to build a low-carbon power system is to realize the scientific and reasonable planning of the power system. The traditional power supply and grid separation planning model is not suitable for the development trend of power system. The more low-carbon power plant and grid coordination planning model will gradually replace the original planning model. The power planning mode, low-carbon technology and carbon emission policy are the internal and external driving factors to construct low-carbon power system. However, systematic evaluation of the potential benefits of low-carbon power system will greatly promote the construction and development of low-carbon power system. In this paper, the system dynamics method is used to evaluate the efficiency of low carbon power system under the coordinated power plant planning model. Firstly, the coordinated planning model of power plant and network and the construction of low-carbon power system are studied. The influence of the introduction of low carbon elements on power planning is analyzed emphatically, and the coordinated planning mode of power plant and power network is defined, and the way of constructing low carbon power system is expounded from three angles: generation side, grid side and power side. Secondly, based on the decomposition of low carbon power system benefit, the benefit evaluation index system is constructed, and the advantages and disadvantages of different benefit evaluation methods are compared. Based on the system dynamics method, the overall causality cycle diagram of low carbon power system benefit evaluation is given. Thirdly, a low carbon power system benefit evaluation model is constructed from three links: generation side, grid side and power side. Finally, taking Fujian Province as an example, the economic benefit, carbon emission reduction benefit and social benefit obtained from the construction of low-carbon power system in Fujian Province from 2011-2020 are calculated. The results show that the low carbon power system under the coordinated power plant planning model has significant comprehensive benefits. This will help people fully realize the potential benefits of low-carbon power system and enhance the investment of relevant investors in low-carbon power system, so as to speed up the construction of low-carbon power system.
【学位授予单位】:华北电力大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F426.61

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