我国区域电力竞争力分析

发布时间：2019-06-17 16:12

【摘要】：电力行业是国民经济的基础能源产业,支撑国民经济各个产业的健康发展,同时也有利于人民群众生活水平的提高,在国民社会经济中占据着举足轻重的地位。2011年,金融海啸的负面影响犹存,不过电力行业已经走出低谷,正在步入新的发展周期；与此同时,随着我国进一步深化电力体制改革,竞争态势在我国的电力行业发电领域已经开始形成,供电领域也引入了竞争机制；另外,我国电力行业技术水平得到迅速的提高,输配电领域的技术也随着得到很快的提高。文章以竞争力的视角通过指标评价方法、多元统计分析方法的因子分析和聚类分析来研究我国电力竞争力、我国电力格局特点和电力产业发展现状,希望对我国的电力产业的发展,提出一些具有针对性的参考意见和建议。具体地来说,首先在竞争力评价理论的基础上,通过构建指标体系平均得出31个地区总指数及综合排名。然后通过因子分析从电力建设投入、电力生产和电力消费以及绿色能源四方面出发,得到2001年到2011年11年的综合排名结果,并对两种排名进行了对比分析解释,并在此基础上作出聚类分析。研究结果表明,首先就全国电力产业格局来说,我国电力供不应求,长期以来在部分地区部分时段会出现电力紧张的局面。其次,我国电力资源分布不均匀,因而存在大范围长距离的电力调度。最后,我国发电无论是电力生产结构还是电力消费结构,都过分依赖于火力发电。为了实现我国经济社会的可持续发展以及加快建设“美丽中国”的步伐,选择绿色能源作为电力生产的途径,是实现我国电力产业不断发展的必然趋势。
[Abstract]:The electric power industry is the basic energy industry of the national economy, which supports the healthy development of various industries of the national economy, and is also conducive to the improvement of the living standards of the people, and occupies an important position in the national social economy. In 2011, the negative impact of the financial tsunami still exists, but the electric power industry has come out of the trough and is entering a new development cycle. At the same time, with the further deepening of the reform of the power system in our country, the competition situation has begun to form in the field of power generation in our country, and the competition mechanism has also been introduced in the field of power supply. In addition, the technical level of the power industry in our country has been rapidly improved, and the technology in the field of transmission and distribution has also been rapidly improved. From the perspective of competitiveness, this paper studies the competitiveness of electric power in China, the characteristics of electric power pattern and the present situation of electric power industry development in China through factor analysis and cluster analysis of index evaluation method, multivariate statistical analysis method, and hopes to put forward some targeted reference opinions and suggestions for the development of electric power industry in China. Specifically, first of all, on the basis of competitiveness evaluation theory, the average total index and comprehensive ranking of 31 regions are obtained by constructing the index system. Then, through factor analysis, the comprehensive ranking results from 2001 to 2011 are obtained from four aspects: power construction input, power production and power consumption, and the two rankings are compared and explained, and on this basis, cluster analysis is made. The results show that, first of all, as far as the national power industry pattern is concerned, the power supply in China is in short supply, and there will be electricity shortage in some areas for a long time. Secondly, the distribution of power resources in China is uneven, so there is a wide range of long-distance power dispatching. Finally, both power production structure and power consumption structure in China rely too much on thermal power generation. In order to realize the sustainable development of China's economy and society and speed up the pace of building "beautiful China", the choice of green energy as the way of electric power production is the inevitable trend to realize the continuous development of China's electric power industry.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61;F224

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