“十三五”时期我国地方政府性债务风险研究

发布时间：2018-04-16 16:13

本文选题：地方政府债务 + “十三五”时期　；参考：《湖北社会科学》2017年01期

【摘要】："十三五"时期我国经济发展进入了新常态时期。这一时期地方政府财政收支活动将面临更大压力。从整体角度、各省级政府角度、制度变迁和外部经济影响角度分析,我国地方政府性债务虽总体可控,但其对全国政府性债务贡献过大,地方债上升空间几近消失,个别省份债务负担率已进入预警区间。"十三五"时期,通过对地方政府偿债资金来源和偿债成本的预测,不难看出,我国地方政府债务将有可能面临更大偿债压力。控制债务风险、缓解债务压力一方面要提高偿债能力,着力推进融资平台公司市场化转型、建立地方房地产税、完善公私合作模式等,另一方面要提升监管水平,加快完善地方自主发债模式、加强政策创新风险的监控。
[Abstract]:China's economic development has entered a new normal period during the Thirteenth five-year Plan period.This period local government financial revenue and expenditure activities will face greater pressure.From the whole angle, the provincial government angle, the system change and the external economic influence angle analysis, although our country local government debt is generally controllable, but its contribution to the national government debt is too big, the local debt rises the space nearly to disappear.The debt burden rate of individual provinces has entered an early warning range. "During the 13th Five-Year Plan period, it is not difficult to see that the local government debt will be faced with more pressure by forecasting the source of local government debt repayment funds and the repayment cost.To control the debt risk and relieve the debt pressure, on the one hand, we should improve the solvency, promote the market-oriented transformation of the financing platform companies, establish local real estate taxes, perfect the public-private partnership model, and on the other hand, raise the level of supervision.We will speed up the improvement of the model of autonomous issuance of bonds by local governments and strengthen the monitoring of the risks of policy innovation.
【作者单位】：天津财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学青年基金“我国‘影子银行’风险和地方政府财政风险间的交叉传染机制及其监控政策研究”(14CJY063) 天津市高等学校创新团队项目“财税体制变革下的地方税建设与公共政策”
【分类号】：F812.5

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