城镇化、土地供给与房地产价格:大城市与中小城市的差异比较

发布时间：2018-01-06 03:06

本文关键词：城镇化、土地供给与房地产价格:大城市与中小城市的差异比较　出处：《山东大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在已有研究基础上构建反映城镇化水平、土地供给与房地产价格相互作用关系的理论模型,利用动态面板分析的方法实证比较大城市和中小城市城镇化、土地供给与房价之间的作用关系。研究发现:大城市城镇化对房价的影响不显著,中小城市城镇化与房价相互促进和相互作用;相对于中小城市,大城市土地供给量增加对房价的影响效果更强;土地供给对城镇化影响不明显,中小城市土地供给对人口城镇化产生了扭曲效应。概括说来,我国大多数城市的土地市场、房地产市场与城镇化并未实现协调均衡发展,这一现象在大城市表现更为明显。
[Abstract]:On the basis of existing research, we construct a theoretical model which reflects the interaction between urbanization level, land supply and real estate prices, and use dynamic panel analysis to compare the urbanization of large and medium-sized cities. The relationship between land supply and housing price. The results show that urbanization in big cities has no significant impact on house prices, while urbanization and housing prices in small and medium-sized cities promote and interact with each other; Compared with small and medium-sized cities, the increase of land supply in large cities has a stronger effect on housing prices. The effect of land supply on urbanization is not obvious, and land supply in small and medium-sized cities has a distorted effect on population urbanization. In summary, the land market of most cities in China. The development of real estate market and urbanization is not harmonious and balanced, which is more obvious in big cities.
【作者单位】：青岛大学经济学院;北京大学经济学院;
【基金】：山东省社会科学规划研究项目“山东省新型城镇化与房地产市场协调发展研究”(15CJJJ30);山东省社会科学规划研究项目“十八大以来中国特色劳动关系的演化路径研究”(16CZLJ05) 青岛市哲学社会科学规划项目(智库专项)“青岛市房地产业健康发展研究”(QDSKL160503)
【分类号】：F299.21;F299.23;F301.2
【正文快照】： (1)中小城市发展战略研究院、中国中小城市科学发展指数研究课题组:《2016年中国中小城市科学发展指数研究成果》,2016。(2)李克强:《在改革开放进程中深入实施扩大内需战略》,《求是》2012年第4期。一、引言党的十八届三中全会以来,国家先后出台了《国家新型城镇化规划(2014-

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