基于AHP和盲数理论的房地产投资决策分析

发布时间：2018-03-13 23:43

本文选题：房地产　切入点：投资决策　出处：《东北林业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：作为我国国民经济的支柱产业,房地产开发投资一直是一个高收益、高风险的复杂工作过程,而在房地产开发投资活动中,无论是私人投资还是政府部门的投资,正确的选择投资项目无疑是关键性的一步。本文在认真总结房地产行业发展现状和现有评价及决策方法的基础上,主要从以下几部分进行论述：第一部分主要介绍房地产投资决策的影响因素,并将这些因素进行总结和归类,建立一个相对合理的房地产投资决策指标体系；第二部分在房地产投资决策指标体系的基础上,将层次分析法与盲数理论相结合,构建一个基于AHP和盲数理论的房地产投资决策模型,用于房地产项目投资决策,本模型符合定量与定性相结合的原则,计算简便,应用盲数理论提高未确知信息的准确性,使决策结果更合理；第三部分采用实证分析的方式,应用房地产投资决策模型对具体的房地产项目进行分析和决策,验证本模型的科学性和实效性。本文在房地产投资决策问题上,首次将层次分析法和盲数理论相结合,建立新的房地产投资决策模型,为房地产投资决策提供科学有效的决策工具。
[Abstract]:As the pillar industry of our national economy, real estate development investment is always a complex process of high income and high risk. In real estate development and investment activities, whether private investment or government investment, The right choice of investment projects is undoubtedly a key step. On the basis of summarizing the present situation of the real estate industry development and the existing evaluation and decision making methods, this paper mainly discusses the following parts: the first part mainly introduces the influencing factors of the real estate investment decision. These factors are summarized and classified to establish a relatively reasonable real estate investment decision-making index system. The second part combines AHP with blind number theory on the basis of real estate investment decision index system. A real estate investment decision model based on AHP and blind number theory is constructed, which can be used in the investment decision of real estate projects. The model accords with the principle of combining quantitative and qualitative analysis, and it is simple to calculate, and the blind number theory is used to improve the accuracy of unascertained information. In the third part, the real estate investment decision model is used to analyze and make decisions on the specific real estate projects, which verifies the scientificity and effectiveness of the model. In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and blind number theory are combined for the first time to establish a new real estate investment decision-making model, which provides a scientific and effective decision-making tool for real estate investment decision-making.
【学位授予单位】：东北林业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.23;F224

【引证文献】