建筑材料产业安全评价实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-26 20:14

本文选题：建筑材料产业　切入点：产业安全评价　出处：《北京交通大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：建筑材料产业是国民经济的重要基础产业,改革开放以来,借助我国大型基础建设项目及房地产市场的繁荣,建筑材料产业得到了长足的发展,在国民经济中的支柱地位日益显著。但由于缺乏科学的发展规划,经历了前几年的井喷式发展之后,建筑材料产业产能布局不合理、生产工艺落后、能源消耗量大等矛盾日益突出,对产业安全构成很大威胁。此外,在国家倡导节能减排、发展低碳经济的政策背景下,建筑材料产业因其高耗能、高污染的产业特性,也面临着新的挑战。本文以建筑材料产业为研究对象,利用历年数据进行产业安全实证研究,方面有助于了解建筑材料产业目前的发展情况,另一方面也有利于确立下一步发展的目标和方向,确保建筑材料产业在新时期能够实现安全有序发展。本文基于产业经济学、产业安全、统计学等基础理论,采用定性与定量相结合的方法,对我国建筑材料产业安全进行实证研究。首先综合介绍了产业安全领域及建筑材料产业的相关研究成果。在此基础上,根据我国建筑材料产业的特点、实际发展情况和产业安全主要影响因素,结合现有的研究成果,构建了我国建筑材料产业安全评价指标体系,对各指标设置了合理的警限范围,并采用层次分析法计算出各级指标权重。然后基于2003～2010年的历史数据,运用灰色预测模型预测出建筑材料产业“十二五”期间的发展态势,最后根据线性多属性综合评价模型对历年的产业安全度进行了估算,得出我国建筑材料产业处于“基本安全”状态,但有进一步恶化趋势的结论。针对建筑材料产业综合安全状况及各一级指标的发展态势,结合新时期面临的机遇和挑战,对我国建筑材料产业今后的发展提出了对策建议。
[Abstract]:The construction material industry is an important basic industry of the national economy. Since the reform and opening up, with the help of the prosperity of the large-scale infrastructure projects and the real estate market in China, the construction materials industry has been greatly developed. The pillar position in the national economy is becoming more and more prominent. However, due to the lack of scientific development plan, after the blowout development in the past few years, the production capacity distribution of the building materials industry is unreasonable, and the production process is backward. Contradictions such as large energy consumption are becoming increasingly prominent and pose a great threat to industrial safety. In addition, against the background of the national policy of promoting energy conservation and emission reduction and developing a low-carbon economy, the building materials industry is characterized by its high energy consumption and high pollution. This paper takes the building materials industry as the research object, uses the past years data to carry on the industrial safety demonstration research, in the aspect is helpful to understand the construction material industry present development situation, On the other hand, it also helps to establish the goal and direction of the next development, and to ensure the safe and orderly development of the building material industry in the new period. Based on the basic theories of industrial economics, industrial safety and statistics, this paper adopts a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. First of all, the paper introduces the related research achievements in the field of industrial safety and the industry of building materials. On this basis, according to the characteristics of the construction materials industry in China, Based on the actual development situation and the main influencing factors of industrial safety, combined with the existing research results, the evaluation index system of building materials industry safety in China is constructed, and the reasonable warning limits are set up for each index. Then based on the historical data from 2003 to 2010, the grey prediction model is used to predict the development trend of the building materials industry during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Finally, according to the linear multi-attribute comprehensive evaluation model, the industrial safety degree of the past years is estimated, and it is concluded that the construction materials industry in our country is in the state of "basic safety". According to the comprehensive safety situation of the building material industry and the development trend of each grade index, combined with the opportunities and challenges faced in the new period, the countermeasures and suggestions for the future development of the building material industry in China are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.92

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