新型城镇化下房地产企业发展路径研究

发布时间：2018-05-13 06:53

本文选题：房地产业 + 新型城镇化　；参考：《长安大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国房地产业作为固定资产投资的重要占比行业,其波动与宏观经济周期高度相关,政策的调整、经济的振动以及社会需求变化都决定着房地产市场的发展方向。现阶段我国已开启城镇化发展的历史新篇章,过去以GDP增长作为发展核心的传统城镇化,正在向切实完成人口城镇化以及提升公共服务质量的新型城镇化转型。城镇化转型发展的大背景下,当前房地产开发模式中存在的问题越发凸显,已不能全面适应新型城镇化发展要求。房企要想突破现有发展困境,迎合新的发展趋势,就必须与时俱进,寻找有助于增加就业机会和提高人居质量的新型房地产开发模式并加以推广,从而促进房地产企业自身的持续、健康发展。本文基于以上研究背景,围绕房地产发展路径做了如下研究:(1)对国内当前典型开发模式以及相关文献的研究进行了梳理概括,论述了我国房地产开发模式所处现状,并分析总结出目前我国房地产开发模式存在的问题包括:能源、资源利用率低,碳排放量高;重资产模式以及融资途径单一;住宅产品运营附加值低,企业利润空间下滑。(2)本文基于新型城镇化背景,从政策形势、宏观经济以及社会需求三个角度阐述我国当前房地产企业所面临的形势;就统计年鉴数据绘制直方图进行直观对比分析,将影响因素分类,为模型实证分析提供参考。(3)基于以上理论研究和数据分析,采用动静相结合的方法,对房地产发展的影响因素进行量化研究。静态研究上选用STIRPAT模型,利用PLS测算方法计算模型中的回归系数,将解释变量的弹性系数分解成直接影响和间接影响两种类型,探求变量间的交互作用以及该作用对房地产发展的驱动。动态预测上采用SVAR模型进行,利用脉冲响应函数反映自变量冲击对于房地产发展的影响程度以及周期变化,借以明确房地产转型路径的主次方向,并据此给出房地产在融资模式、业务模式以及盈利模式三方面的转型路径。
[Abstract]:China's real estate industry is an important part of fixed asset investment, its fluctuation is highly related to the macroeconomic cycle, the adjustment of policy, the vibration of economy and the change of social demand all determine the development direction of real estate market. At the present stage, China has opened a new chapter in the history of urbanization development. In the past, the traditional urbanization with GDP growth as the core of development is transforming to a new type of urbanization, which effectively completes the urbanization of population and promotes the quality of public services. Under the background of urbanization transformation and development, the existing problems in the current real estate development model are more and more prominent, and can not fully adapt to the requirements of new urbanization development. In order to break through the existing difficulties of development and cater to the new development trend, housing enterprises must keep pace with the times and seek and promote new real estate development models that help to increase employment opportunities and improve the quality of human settlements. In order to promote the real estate enterprise itself sustainable, healthy development. Based on the above research background, this paper makes the following research on the path of real estate development: 1) combing and summarizing the current typical domestic development model and related literature, and discussing the current situation of the real estate development model in China. The problems existing in the real estate development mode of our country include: low utilization of energy, low utilization of resources, high carbon emissions, single model of heavy assets and financing, low added value of residential products operation. Based on the background of new urbanization, this paper expounds the current situation of real estate enterprises in our country from the three angles of policy situation, macro economy and social demand. Based on the above theoretical research and data analysis, the method of combining static and dynamic analysis is adopted to classify the influencing factors and provide reference for the empirical analysis of the model by comparing and analyzing the histogram of statistical yearbook data. Quantitative study on the influencing factors of real estate development. In static research, the STIRPAT model is used to calculate the regression coefficient in the model by using the PLS calculation method, and the elastic coefficient of the explanatory variable is decomposed into two types: direct influence and indirect influence. Explore the interaction between variables and the real estate development driven by this role. The dynamic prediction is carried out by SVAR model. The impulse response function is used to reflect the impact degree and periodic change of the independent variable impact on the real estate development, so as to clarify the primary and secondary direction of the real estate transition path. Based on this, the transformation path of real estate in financing mode, business model and profit model is given.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.233.4

【参考文献】