北京市不同区县房价与地价关系研究:以海淀区、朝阳区和通州区为例

发布时间：2018-05-15 12:03

本文选题：北京市 + 地价　；参考：《数学的实践与认识》2014年23期

【摘要】：采用Granger因果检验法及文献资料法,对北京市三个区县房价地价关系进行分析,为房地产市场"分类调控"战略提供参考.研究发现:房价对地价关系上,海淀区、朝阳区和通州区房价增长均推动地价增长,但房价对地价的作用程度表现为海淀区大于朝阳区,朝阳区大于通州区;地价对房价关系上,通州区地价是房价的格兰杰原因,海淀和朝阳的地价均不明显作用于房价.基于对区域间差异的分析,海淀区应合理增加土地供应,朝阳区应尽量保持现有土地供应量,两区县均应调整住房供应结构,建设更多保障房和廉租房;而通州区应抑制区域房价持续增长的预期,杜绝投资投机性需求.
[Abstract]:By using the method of Granger causality test and literature data, this paper analyzes the relationship between house price and land price in three districts and counties of Beijing, and provides a reference for the strategy of "classified regulation and control" in real estate market. It is found that the increase of house price in Haidian District, Chaoyang District and Tongzhou District promotes the increase of land price, but the effect of house price on land price is greater than that in Chaoyang District, and Chaoyang District is larger than Tongzhou District. In the relation between land price and house price, land price in Tongzhou district is the Granger reason of house price, and the land price of Haidian and Chaoyang has no obvious effect on house price. Based on the analysis of the regional differences, Haidian District should increase land supply reasonably, Chaoyang District should keep the existing land supply as far as possible, the two counties should adjust the housing supply structure and build more indemnificatory apartment and low-rent housing. Tongzhou District should restrain the expectation of sustained increase of housing prices and eliminate speculative demand for investment.
【作者单位】：中国农业大学资源与环境学院;
【基金】：国土资源部公益性行业科研专项经费资助项目(201211001)
【分类号】：F299.23;F224

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