房价收入偏离度、消费结构差异与贫富差距扩大化

发布时间：2019-03-03 16:24

【摘要】：文章将传统的房地产财富效应分析拓展至研究房价对于消费结构和贫富差距的影响层面。以商品房销售价格、房价偏离度、贫富差距及消费结构差异为基础数据,采用回归分析与Granger因果关系检验的方法,探讨房价作用于消费结构进而影响到社会贫富差距这一传导机制。文章认为,房价不合理上涨会显著地加剧贫富差距状况,而贫富差距也是房价不合理上涨的Granger因,二者总体上存在着恶性循环;房地产价格对于不同收入阶层、不同消费支出项目的财富效应、替代效应差异较大。而且文章通过对消费结构差异与贫富差距的作用形式的分析,得出结论:私人消费差异对于贫富差距的影响大于公共消费差异,且私人消费差异与贫富差距存在双向的Granger因果关系。
[Abstract]:This paper extends the traditional real estate wealth effect analysis to study the impact of housing prices on consumption structure and the gap between rich and poor. Based on the data of the sale price of commercial housing, the deviation degree of house price, the gap between rich and poor and the difference of consumption structure, this paper adopts the method of regression analysis and Granger causality test. This paper probes into the transmission mechanism of the influence of house prices on consumption structure and the gap between the rich and the poor. The article holds that the unreasonable increase in house prices will significantly aggravate the gap between the rich and the poor, and the gap between the rich and the poor is also the Granger cause of the unreasonable increase in house prices, and there is a vicious circle between the two as a whole; The wealth effect and substitution effect of real estate prices for different income classes and different consumer expenditure items vary greatly. And through the analysis of the difference between the consumption structure and the gap between the rich and the poor, this paper draws the conclusion that the influence of the difference of private consumption on the gap between the rich and the poor is greater than that of the public consumption. And there are two-way Granger causality between the difference of private consumption and the gap between rich and poor.
【作者单位】：西安财经学院;中南财经政法大学;
【分类号】：F293.3;F124.7;F224

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