辽宁经济在振兴中艰难前行——2015年辽宁经济分析与2016年预测

发布时间：2019-07-16 06:54

【摘要】：本文对2015年辽宁经济运行情况进行了分析,指出经济下滑趋势明显的具体表现,如工业经济大幅下滑,企业盈利能力降低;固定资产投资增长乏力,房地产市场持续低迷;出口大幅回落,降幅大于全国平均水平;财政收入降幅较大,财税压力较为突出等,并指出了这一年里物价水平保持平稳,农业生产稳定发展,产业结构升级有所加快,能源消耗进一步降低,就业等民生指标总体趋好,发展环境逐步改善等新的变化。同时提出了辽宁经济下滑原因的理性和实证解释。本文还结合2016年国内外经济的变化趋势,初步判断了2016年辽宁宏观经济的发展趋势,提出了促进未来辽宁经济健康发展的一些看法和策略安排。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the economic operation of Liaoning in 2015, and points out that the economic downward trend is obvious, such as the sharp decline of industrial economy and the decrease of profitability of enterprises, the weak growth of fixed asset investment and the continued downturn of the real estate market, and the sharp decline in exports, which is greater than the national average. This paper points out that the price level has remained stable, the agricultural production has developed steadily, the industrial structure has been upgraded, the energy consumption has been further reduced, the employment and other livelihood indicators have generally improved, and the development environment has gradually improved, etc., and so on, and the price level has remained stable, agricultural production has developed steadily, industrial structure has been upgraded, energy consumption has been further reduced, employment and other livelihood indicators have generally improved, and the development environment has gradually improved. At the same time, the rational and empirical explanation of the causes of Liaoning's economic downturn is put forward. Based on the changing trend of domestic and foreign economy in 2016, this paper also preliminarily judges the development trend of Liaoning's macro-economy in 2016, and puts forward some views and strategic arrangements for promoting the healthy development of Liaoning's economy in the future.
【作者单位】：辽宁社会科学院产业经济研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目《资源型地区战略性新兴产业发展研究》(项目编号:12BJL075)的部分阶段性成果
【分类号】：F127

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