安徽省生产性服务业的投入产出分析

发布时间：2018-07-14 19:51

【摘要】：目前,服务业迅速发展并逐渐成为我国经济增长的新动力,其发展情况已经关系到我国经济增长方式,为了更好的转变我国经济结构,生产性服务业是突破口,而我国的生产性服务业还不够成熟,调查表明我国的生产性服务业占GDP的比重约在15%。但是这个比重与我国是制造业大国远远不够的。随着我国的经济发展步入新常态,积极推进产业结构优化升级,充分发展生产性服务业与制造业的融合正成为经济发展的新出路。安徽省作为中部代表省份,也是中国中部崛起的中坚力量,在当前我国的整体经济步入改革的深化时期,增速放缓、经济发展下行压力增大,如何发展好安徽省生产性服务业意义重大。本文共分为五章内容。第一章内容是关于选题背景与文献综述等。首先通过介绍有关国际上发达国家生产性服务业发展现状、特点和途径等经验,继而转到我国生产性服务业的发展水平与国际水平对比中存在的弱势,还有我国发达省市区域所作出的针对性的措施与成功经验。在此基础上,论述地处中部地区安徽省重视和发展生产性服务业、促进经济增长的重要性。其次,关于国内外学术界对于生产性服务业研究的文献介绍,包括对于生产性服务业的定义与划分、研究方法、研究方向等。同时,也详细的列明了关于安徽省生产性服务业论文研究的5个方向。最后简要说明本文的研究思路、创新和不足。第二章是关于本文所要用到的生产性服务业概念及分类的界定,以及本文所引入的投入产出分析方法的基本原理和理论知识等的介绍。第三、第四章是本文的核心部分。第三章首先描述安徽省生产性服务业的发展现状和规模,对其发展水平有一个总体上的了解。然后,基于2002年、2007年、2012年安徽省投入产出表,运用投入产出理论中中间投入率和最初投入结构系数、中间需求率和最终需求结构系数、直接消耗系数、影响力系数和感应度系数分别对安徽省生产性服务业的投入结构、产出结构、产业关联、产业的波及效应进行分析。第四章是运用投入产出列模型和行模型结构分解来从最初投入和最终需求角度来找出影响安徽省生产性服务业发展的因素。第五章对近年安徽省生产性服务业发展的特点及存在的问题进行总结,最后提出生产性服务业发展的对策建议。通过实证分析,总体上,安徽省生产性服务业在2002年-2012年的增长趋势微弱,其占服务业的比重增长了 1.67%,与安徽省国民生产总值在这10年的快速增长不匹配。具体到生产服务业中各个行业,现代物流业等5个部门同样在2002年-2012年的产业结构变化不明显,产业之间的关联还有待改善。尤要指出的是安徽省的信息服务业和科技服务业相较于其他3个生产性服务业处于落后态势,除生产性服务业外,其他产业对于它们的产业关联微弱。基于此,安徽省生产性服务业是一种与其他产业有着很高关联的服务性产业,一直贯穿在制造业生产价值链的各个过程,为了促进安徽省产业结构更好的优化与升级,促进生产性服务业与制造业等产业高度融合、互动发展,安徽省的生产性服务业的发展应发挥集聚效应,解决专业化人才紧缺等问题,大力加强人才队伍建设等。
[Abstract]:At present, the service industry is developing rapidly and gradually becoming the new motive force of our country's economic growth. Its development has already related to the economic growth mode of our country. In order to change our country's economic structure, the productive service industry is a breakthrough, and the productive service industry of our country is not mature enough. The investigation shows that the production service industry of our country accounts for the ratio of GDP. The weight is about 15%., but this proportion is far from our country's manufacturing country. With the economic development of our country entering a new normal, actively promoting industrial structure optimization and upgrading, fully developing the integration of production service industry and manufacturing industry is becoming the new way of economic development. Anhui is the central province of China and the rise of central China. The core force, in the current China's overall economy into the deepening period of reform, the growth slowdown, the downward pressure of economic development, how to develop the productive service industry in Anhui is of great significance. This article is divided into five chapters. The first chapter is about the background of the topic and literature review. First, it introduces the related international developed countries. The development status, characteristics and ways of the home productive service industry are then transferred to the weakness in the comparison of the development level of the productive service industry in China and the international level, and the targeted measures and successful experience made by the developed provinces and cities in China. On this basis, the Anhui Province in the central region attaches great importance to and develops production. The importance of the service industry to promote economic growth. Secondly, the literature on the research of the productive service industry at home and abroad, including the definition and division of the productive service industry, the research method and the direction of the research. At the same time, the 5 directions about the research on the production service industry in Anhui province are also detailed. Finally, a brief description is made. The second chapter is about the definition of the concept and classification of the productive service industry used in this article, and the introduction of the basic principles and theoretical knowledge of the input-output analysis method introduced in this article. Third, the fourth chapter is the core part of this article. The third chapter describes the production suit of Anhui Province first. There is a general understanding of the development status and scale of the business industry. Then, based on the 2002, 2007, and 2012 Anhui input-output tables, the intermediate input rate and the initial input structure coefficient, the intermediate demand rate and the final demand structure coefficient, the direct consumption coefficient, the influence coefficient and the induction degree are used in the input-output theory. In the fourth chapter, the fourth chapter is to find out the factors that affect the development of the production service industry in Anhui province from the initial input and the final demand angle. The fifth chapter is on the recent years. The characteristics and existing problems of the development of the productive service industry in Anhui Province are summarized. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions for the development of the productive service industry are put forward. Through the empirical analysis, the growth trend of Anhui productive service industry in the year -2012 in 2002 is weak, and the proportion of its service industry has increased by 1.67%, and the gross national product of Anhui province is in these 10 years. The rapid growth does not match. The industrial structure of the 5 departments, such as the 5 departments of the modern logistics industry and other industries in the production service industry, has not changed obviously in 2002, and the correlation between industries remains to be improved. In particular, it is pointed out that the information service industry and the technology service industry in Anhui are behind the other 3 productive services. In addition to the productive service industry, other industries have a weak connection to their industry. Based on this, the productive service industry in Anhui province is a kind of service industry which is closely related to other industries. It has been running through the process of the production value chain of the manufacturing industry, in order to promote the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of Anhui Province, and promote the promotion of life. The production service industry and manufacturing industry are highly integrated and interactive development. The development of the productive service industry in Anhui province should bring into play the agglomeration effect, solve the shortage of professional talents and so on, and strengthen the construction of the talent team.
【学位授予单位】：安徽大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719;F223

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