中国服务业显性比较优势测算——基于前向联系增加值出口

发布时间：2018-09-05 06:28

【摘要】：基于"前向联系增加值出口"方法,测算了1995-2011年中国服务业细分产业层面及按要素密集度特征分类层面的显性比较优势指数(RCA_F),并同基于"总出口"1的比较优势指数(RCA)进行了比较。研究发现,中国在全球价值链分工中,比较优势集中在资本密集型服务业领域,且实现了比较劣势向比较优势的转变;劳动、知识密集型服务业及健康教育公共服务均尚未取得比较优势,但是有迹象表明三个领域的比较劣势有改善的趋势。与基于前向联系增加值出口核算结果相比,基于总出口核算结果"高估"了劳动密集型产业的比较优势,其中对建筑业和零售贸易两个部门的估计偏差最大;同时,在资本、知识密集型两个领域存在不同程度的"低估"现象。
[Abstract]:Based on the "forward linked value-added export" approach, In this paper, the dominant comparative advantage index (RCA_F) of China's service industry from 1995 to 2011 is calculated and compared with the (RCA) based on "total export" 1. The study found that in the global value chain division of labor, China's comparative advantage is concentrated in the capital-intensive service sector, and the transition from comparative disadvantage to comparative advantage is realized. Knowledge-intensive services and public health education services have not yet achieved a comparative advantage, but there are indications that the comparative disadvantages in the three areas are improving. Compared with the results of export accounting based on forward linkage value added, the total export accounting results "overestimate" the comparative advantages of labor-intensive industries, with the largest deviation in the estimation of the construction and retail trade sectors; at the same time, in the capital sector, There are different degrees of undervaluation in the two areas of knowledge-intensive.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学统计学院;
【基金】：北京师范大学研究生创新创业科研基金项目《贸易增加值核算方法及其在中国应用》(2016-2017年度) 国家社会科学基金项目《中国税源核算的统计体系与应用研究》(11BTJ005) 国家统计局2012投入产出课题《对外贸易对中国经济影响力的比较研究(IO12-ZC34)
【分类号】：F719

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