中国服务业FDI溢出效应影响因素研究

发布时间：2019-02-11 11:33

【摘要】：20世纪80年代以来,全球化逐渐开始影响世界经济发展,与此同时,产业结构转型的趋势更被加强,服务业作为目前经济增长的重要引擎更是得到了飞速的发展,新兴的现代服务业对经济的拉动作用更为明显,与之相伴的则是国际直接投资向服务业的转移,服务业已成为国际直接投资领域的主流。从目前我国发展现实来看,服务业是中国经济转型发展的一个大方向,随着我国对服务业的开放政策逐步放松,开放领域逐渐拓宽,服务业FDI也得到了快速的发展。研究已表明,FDI的溢出效应将有效带动东道国相关产业的发展和整体经济的提升,那么对服务业FDI溢出效应的研究能够更深入的分析其溢出的机制和影响因素,从而为我国更好地吸纳外商直接投资,促进服务业FDI溢出效应的发挥将有重要的借鉴作用和现实意义。本文在理论与文献的基础上,分析了服务业FDI溢出效应产生的一般机理和行业层面影响因素以及之间的作用关系,突出服务业的行业特点；在理论分析的基础上利用实证分析方法,分别从服务业行业内和服务业行业间两个角度检验了我国服务业FDI溢出效应,发现我国服务业FDI行业内存在溢出效应而行业间溢出效应则非常微弱,在此基础上进一步实证研究了影响我国服务业FDI溢出效应的行业层面因素,包括人力资本、行业发展水平、行业开放程度和行业技术水平等,利用Eviews6.0和Stata12.0对我国服务业13个行业2004-2013年的面板数据进行了实证检验,得出劳动力成本抑制了服务业FDI溢出效应,行业发展水平、行业开放程度对服务业FDI溢出效应有促进作用,而行业技术水平的作用则不显著。此外本文还将服务业按一定指标细分为资本密集型、劳动密集型、知识密集型三类分别对其影响因素进行检验,尝试得出了针对这三个类型服务业的不同结论,最后根据实证得出的结论,为我国更好地发挥服务业FDI溢出效应提出了相关的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the 1980s, globalization has gradually affected the development of the world economy. At the same time, the trend of industrial structure transformation has been strengthened, and the service industry, as an important engine of economic growth, has been developing at full speed. The new modern service industry has a more obvious effect on the economy, accompanied by the transfer of international direct investment to the service industry, and the service industry has become the mainstream of the field of international direct investment. From the current development reality of our country, the service industry is a major direction of China's economic transformation and development. With the gradual relaxation of China's opening policy to the service industry and the widening of the open field, the FDI of the service industry has also developed rapidly. The research has shown that the spillover effect of FDI will effectively promote the development of relevant industries and the overall economy of the host country, so the research on the spillover effect of service FDI can further analyze the mechanism and influencing factors of spillover. Therefore, it will have important reference and practical significance for our country to absorb foreign direct investment better and promote the FDI spillover effect of service industry. On the basis of theory and literature, this paper analyzes the general mechanism of FDI spillover effect in service industry, the influencing factors at industry level and the relationship between them, highlighting the characteristics of service industry. On the basis of theoretical analysis, using the empirical analysis method, this paper tests the spillover effect of service industry FDI from the two angles of service industry and service industry respectively. It is found that there are spillover effects in the FDI industry of our country, but the spillover effect between industries is very weak. On this basis, the author further empirically studies the factors affecting the spillover effect of FDI in the service industry in China, including human capital. By using Eviews6.0 and Stata12.0 to test the panel data of 13 service industries in China from 2004 to 2013, it is concluded that the labor cost has restrained the spillover effect of FDI in the service industry, such as the level of industry development, the degree of industry opening and the level of industry technology. The level of industry development and the degree of industry opening can promote the spillover effect of service industry FDI, but the effect of industry technology level is not significant. In addition, this paper divides the service industry into three categories: capital intensive, labor-intensive and knowledge-intensive, and tries to draw different conclusions for these three types of service industry. Finally, according to the empirical conclusions, some policy suggestions are put forward for our country to give full play to the spillover effect of service FDI.
【学位授予单位】：西北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F719

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