货运限行类政策实施效果研究

发布时间：2018-03-10 17:10

本文选题：货运限行类政策　切入点：城市配送　出处：《北京工商大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城市配送与人们的生产生活需求息息相关,是保障城市经济正常运行的基础。然而随着城市机动车保有量的迅速增加,城市交通拥堵越来越严重,环境进一步恶化,各大城市相继出台货运限行类政策,以控制货车通行数量缓解城市交通压力。货运限行类政策对于缓解城市交通压力起到了一定的积极作用,同时对城市配送产生了一些负面影响,影响了货运企业的发展、增加配送成本、诱发违规行为等问题。实施货运限行类政策利弊共存,综合实施效果有待研究和分析,研究货运限行类政策的实施效果和完善城市配送车辆限行类政策十分重要。如何有效地解决货车限行类政策与城市配送二者之间的矛盾已成为城市物流可持续发展亟待解决的重要问题。本文从货运限行类政策实施的影响出发,分析货运限行类政策下的货运群体行为变化及影响因素,研究货运群体行为动力机制。通过对货运个体的复杂适应性、货运限行类政策事件、货运个体属性及货运群体行为进行分析,研究货运限行类政策对货运群体出行行为产生的影响,以及各类群体的属性变化和行为特征。应用Agent建模方法建立了城市配送系统模型,通过Anylogic软件对模型进行仿真,发现由微观个体出行到宏观的货运群体行为规律,优化和完善货运限行类政策。仿真研究显示,在限行类政策作用下,通过合法通行方式的配送并不能满足城市配送需求,诱发了大量违规通行的产生。通行证数量的限制并不是引起违规货车产生的唯一原因,需要配合其他措施来解决货车通行问题。长远来看,加大罚款金额对于降低违规货车数量的作用效果优于加大监管频率的作用。对货运市场中的货运企业结构进行调整,企业集约化有利于城市配送系统良好的运行,促进城市物流可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Urban distribution is closely related to the production and living needs of people and is the basis of ensuring the normal operation of urban economy. However, with the rapid increase of the number of urban motor vehicles, urban traffic congestion is becoming more and more serious, and the environment is further deteriorating. In order to control the traffic volume of freight cars, the major cities have successively introduced freight traffic restriction policies to alleviate the urban traffic pressure. The freight traffic restriction policy has played a positive role in alleviating urban traffic pressure. At the same time, it has some negative effects on urban distribution, which affects the development of freight transportation enterprises, increases distribution cost, induces illegal behavior and so on. The advantages and disadvantages of carrying out the freight transport restriction policy coexist, and the comprehensive implementation effect needs to be studied and analyzed. It is very important to study the implementation effect of the freight transport restriction policy and to perfect the urban distribution vehicle restriction policy. How to effectively solve the contradiction between the freight car limit policy and urban distribution has become a sustainable development of urban logistics. This paper starts from the impact of the implementation of the policy on the restricted category of freight transport, This paper analyzes the changes of freight group behavior and its influencing factors under the freight transport restriction policy, and studies the dynamic mechanism of freight group behavior. Through the analysis of individual property and group behavior of freight transportation, this paper studies the influence of the policy of restricted class of freight transportation on the travel behavior of freight group. Using Agent modeling method, the urban distribution system model is established, and the model is simulated by Anylogic software. The simulation results show that, under the action of the restricted class policy, the distribution through the legal way can not meet the demand of urban distribution. The limit of the number of passes is not the only reason that causes the illegal goods vehicles, so it is necessary to cooperate with other measures to solve the traffic problems of trucks. In the long run, The effect of increasing the amount of fines on reducing the number of illegal freight cars is better than that of increasing the frequency of supervision. To adjust the structure of freight transport enterprises in the freight transport market, the intensification of enterprises is conducive to the good operation of the urban distribution system. Promote the sustainable development of urban logistics.
【学位授予单位】：北京工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TP18;F259.23

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